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3차원 수리모형을 이용한 농업용 저수지의 파괴확률에 따른 하류부 피해예측 모델 개발

Development of Downstream Flood Damage Prediction Model Based on Probability of Failure Analysis in Agricultural Reservoir

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참고문헌

키워드

주제분류농학

초록

The failures of the agricultural reservoirs that most have more than 50 years, have increased due to the abnormal weather and localized heavy rains. There are many studies on the prediction of damage from reservoir collapse, however, these referenced studies focused on evaluating reservoir collapseas single unit and applyed to one and two dimensional hydrodynamic model to identify the fluid flow. This study is to estimate failure probabilityof spillway, sliding, bearing capacity and overflowing targeting small and medium scale agricultural reservoirs. In addition, we calculate failureprobability by complex mode. Moreover, we predict downstream flood damage by reservoir failure applying three dimensional hydrodynamic model. When the reservoir destroyed, the results are as follows; (1) the flow of fluid proceeds to same stream direction and to a lower slope by potentialand kinetic energy; (2) The predicted damage in downstream is evaluated that damage due to building destruction is the highest.

Abstract

The failures of the agricultural reservoirs that most have more than 50 years, have increased due to the abnormal weather and localized heavy rains. There are many studies on the prediction of damage from reservoir collapse, however, these referenced studies focused on evaluating reservoir collapseas single unit and applyed to one and two dimensional hydrodynamic model to identify the fluid flow. This study is to estimate failure probabilityof spillway, sliding, bearing capacity and overflowing targeting small and medium scale agricultural reservoirs. In addition, we calculate failureprobability by complex mode. Moreover, we predict downstream flood damage by reservoir failure applying three dimensional hydrodynamic model. When the reservoir destroyed, the results are as follows; (1) the flow of fluid proceeds to same stream direction and to a lower slope by potentialand kinetic energy; (2) The predicted damage in downstream is evaluated that damage due to building destruction is the highest.

참고문헌 (28)

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