SWAT모형을 이용한 RCP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 고랭지농업유역의 최적관리기법 평가
Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Best Management Practices of Highland Agricultural Watershed under RCP Scenarios using SWAT
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초록
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the reduction effect of non point source (NPS) pollution in Haean highland agricultural catchment (62.8 km2) for 13 BMP scenarios under RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Under the present climate condition, the BMP (best management practices) reduction efficiency of SS (suspended solid), T-N (total nitrogen), and T-P (total phosphorus) showed +25.7%, +4.2%, and +16.1% for VFS (vegetative filter strip), +0.1%, +15.6%, and +5.7% for FC (fertilizer control), and +6.3%, -2.9%, and +3.9% for RSM (rice straw mulching) respectively. In general, effective was the best for SS and T-P reductions, and the FC was the best for T-N reduction. The negative effect of T-N on RSM was induced by increase in infiltration and solute transport to baseflow. Under the future climate change scenarios, the SS, T-N, and T-P reduction efficiency showed the range of +1.9∼+11.6%, -1.9∼+0.2%, and +5.3∼+11.9% respectively. The 3 BMPs (VFS, FC, and RSM) application in the future showed negative and little differences (-0.5∼+1.6%) for SS and T-N reduction efficiencies while T-P reduction efficiency showed +0.3∼+7.6% comparing with the baseline period. To achieve an increase in the reduction efficiency of future SS and T-N by +2∼+10%, the combined application of more than two BMPs is necessary.
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the reduction effect of non point source (NPS) pollution in Haean highland agricultural catchment (62.8 km2) for 13 BMP scenarios under RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Under the present climate condition, the BMP (best management practices) reduction efficiency of SS (suspended solid), T-N (total nitrogen), and T-P (total phosphorus) showed +25.7%, +4.2%, and +16.1% for VFS (vegetative filter strip), +0.1%, +15.6%, and +5.7% for FC (fertilizer control), and +6.3%, -2.9%, and +3.9% for RSM (rice straw mulching) respectively. In general, effective was the best for SS and T-P reductions, and the FC was the best for T-N reduction. The negative effect of T-N on RSM was induced by increase in infiltration and solute transport to baseflow. Under the future climate change scenarios, the SS, T-N, and T-P reduction efficiency showed the range of +1.9∼+11.6%, -1.9∼+0.2%, and +5.3∼+11.9% respectively. The 3 BMPs (VFS, FC, and RSM) application in the future showed negative and little differences (-0.5∼+1.6%) for SS and T-N reduction efficiencies while T-P reduction efficiency showed +0.3∼+7.6% comparing with the baseline period. To achieve an increase in the reduction efficiency of future SS and T-N by +2∼+10%, the combined application of more than two BMPs is necessary.
참고문헌 (23)
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