본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

Identifying and Predicting Adolescent Smoking Trajectories in Korea

2

조회

0

다운로드

3

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류사회복지학

초록

The purpose of this study is two-fold: 1) to identify different adolescent smoking trajectories in Korea; and 2) to examine predictors of those smoking trajectories within a social developmental frame. Data were from the Korea Youth Panel Survey(KYPS), a longitudinal study of 3,449 youths followed since 2003. Using semi-parametric group-based modeling, four smoking trajectories were identified: non initiators, late onsetters, experimenters, and escalators. Multinomial logistic regressions were then used to identify risk and protective factors that distinguish the trajectory groups from one another. Among non smokers at age 13, late onsetters were distinguished from non initiators by a variety of factors in every ecological domain. Among youths who already smoked at age 13, escalators who increased their smoking were distinguished from experimenters who almost desisted from smoking by age 17 by self-esteem and academic achievement. Finally, implications for youth welfare practice from this study were discussed.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is two-fold: 1) to identify different adolescent smoking trajectories in Korea; and 2) to examine predictors of those smoking trajectories within a social developmental frame. Data were from the Korea Youth Panel Survey(KYPS), a longitudinal study of 3,449 youths followed since 2003. Using semi-parametric group-based modeling, four smoking trajectories were identified: non initiators, late onsetters, experimenters, and escalators. Multinomial logistic regressions were then used to identify risk and protective factors that distinguish the trajectory groups from one another. Among non smokers at age 13, late onsetters were distinguished from non initiators by a variety of factors in every ecological domain. Among youths who already smoked at age 13, escalators who increased their smoking were distinguished from experimenters who almost desisted from smoking by age 17 by self-esteem and academic achievement. Finally, implications for youth welfare practice from this study were discussed.

참고문헌 (41)

  1. Bartecchi,C.E, "The human costs of tobacco use.", New England Journal of Medicine, 330, pp.907~912 (1994)
  2. Catalano,R.F, "The social development model:A theory of antisocial behavior.In J.D.Hawkins(ed.).Delinquency and crime:Current theories", pp.149~197 (1996), Cambridge University Press.
  3. Catalano,R.F, "Modeling the etiology of adolescent substance use:A test of the social development model.", Journal of Drug Issues, 26, pp.429~455 (1996)
  4. Chassin,L, "Changes in peer and parent influence during adolescence:Longitudinal versus cross?sectional perspectives on smoking initiation.", Developmental Psychology, 22(3), pp.327~334 (1986)
  5. Chassin,L.,, "Social?psychological antecedents and consequences of adolescent tobacco use, Adolescent health problems: Behavioral perspectives" (1995), The Gui
  6. Chassin,L, "Four pathways to young?adult smoking status:Adolescent social?psychological antecedents in a midwestern community sample.", Health Psychology, 10, pp.409~418 (1991)
  7. 정익중, "청소년기 자아존중감의 발달궤적과 예측요인", 한국청소년연구, 18(3), pp.127~166 (2007), 한국청소년정책연구원
  8. Chung,I.?J, "Childhood predictors of offense trajectories.", Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 39, pp.60~90 (2002)
  9. Chung,I.-J, "A didactic example of mixture modeling applicable to the study of development in adolescent offending.", Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies, 17, pp.197~218 (2001)
  10. Collins, L. M., "Psychosocial predictors of young adolescent cigarette smoking: A sixteen?month, three?wave longitudinal study" (1987), Journal of Applied Social Psycholog
  11. Conrad,K.M, "children start smoking cigarettes: Predictors of onset", British Journal of Addiction, 87, pp.1711~1724 (1992)
  12. Ershler,J, "The quitting experience for smokers in sixth through twelfth grades.", Addictive Behaviors, 14, pp.365~378 (1989)
  13. Flay,B.R, "Cigarette smoking: Why young people do it and ways of preventing it. Pediatric and adolescent behavioral medicine.", pp.132~183 (1983), New ? Yor
  14. Flay,B.R, "Psychosocial predictors of different stages of cigarette smoking among high school students.", Preventive Medicine, 27, pp.9~18 (1998)
  15. Flay,B.R, "Differential influence of parental smoking and friends' smoking on adolescent initiation and escalation of smoking" (1994), Journal of Health and S
  16. Graham, J. W., "Analysis with missing data in prevention research" (1997), The science of prevention: Methodological advances from alcoho
  17. Hahm,J.S, "The effects of stress,significant others' smoking and smoking belief on smoking behavior in adolescents(Korean).", Korean Journal of Health Psychology, 11(1), pp.191~207 (2006)
  18. Hawkins,J.D, "The social development model:An integrated approach to delinquency prevention.", Journal of Primary Prevention, 6, pp.73~97 (1985)
  19. Hill,K.G, "Early adult outcomes of adolescent binge drinking:Person? and variable?centered analyses of binge drinking trajectories" (2000), Clinical and Experimental Research,24
  20. Hu,F.B, "The influences of friends' and parental smoking on adolescent smoking behavior:The effects of time and prior smoking.", Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 25, pp.2018~2047 (1995)
  21. Jackson,C, "Initial and experimental stages of tobacco and alcohol use during late childhood:Relation to peer,parent,and personal risk factors.", Addictive Behaviors, 22, pp.685~698 (1997)
  22. Jackson,C, "A longitudinal study predicting patterns of cigarette smoking in late childhood.", Health Education and Behavior, 25, pp.436~447 (1998)
  23. Jones,B, "A SAS procedure based on mixture models for estimating developmental trajectories.", Sociological Research and Methods, 29, pp.374~393 (2001)
  24. Kandel,D.B, "The contributions of mothers and fathers to the intergenerational transmission of cigarette smoking in adolescence.", Journal of Research on Adolescence, 5, pp.225~525 (1995)
  25. Kass,R.E, "Bayes factor.", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90, pp.773~795 (1995)
  26. 김현옥, "청소년의 흡연관련 사회적 환경, 흡연거절기술 및 금연관련 자기효능감", Child Health Nursing Research, 9(3), pp.237~249 (2003), 아동간호학회
  27. Lau,R.R.,, "Development and change of young adults' preventive health beliefs and behavior:influence from parents and peers.", Journal of Health and Social Behavior, 31, pp.240~259 (1990)
  28. Lee,K.S, "Korea Youth Panel A summary report(Korean)" (2007), National Youth Policy Institute
  29. Lerman, C., "Evidence suggesting the role of specific genetic factors in cigarette smoking", Health Psychology, 18, pp.14~20 (1999)
  30. Leventhal,H, "The smoking problem:A review of the research and theory in behavioral risk modification.", Psychological Bulletin, 88, pp.370~405 (1980)
  31. Little,R.J.A, "Statistical analysis with missing data" (1987), John Wiley.
  32. Lonczak, H. S, "The social predictors of adolescent alcohol misuse: A test of the Social Development Model", Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 62 (2001)
  33. Masten,A.S, "The development of competence in favorable and unfavorable environments:Lessons from research on successful children", American Psychologist, 53, pp.205~220 (1998)
  34. Nagin,D.S, "Analyzing developmental trajectories: A semiparametric, groupbased approach", Psychological Methods, 4, pp.139~157 (1999)
  35. Nagin,D, "Trajectories of boys' physical aggression,opposition,and hyperactivity on the path to physically violent and nonviolent juvenile delinquency.", Child Development, 70, pp.1181~1196 (1999)
  36. Park,S.H, "Predictors affecting smoking initiation and an increase in smoking frequency among Korean middle schoolers(Korean).", Studies on Korean Youth, 18(1), pp.5~27 (2007)
  37. Petraitis,J, "Reviewing theories of adolescent substance use:Organizing pieces in the puzzle.", Psychological Bulletin, 117, pp.67~86 (1995)
  38. Raftery,A.E, "Bayesian model selection in social research.", Sociological Methodology, 25, pp.111~164 (1995)
  39. Schafer,J.L, "Analysis of incomplete multivariate data" (1997), Chapman and Hall
  40. True, W. R, "Common genetic vulnerability for nicotine and alcohol dependence in men", Archives of General Psychiatry, 56 (1999)
  41. U.S.Department of Health, "Healthy People 2010:Understanding and improving health(2nd ed.)." (2000), U.S.Government Printing Office.

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (14건)