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균열 검사 결과를 고려한 선체 잔류 피로 수명의 확률론적 예측

Stochastic Remaining Fatigue Life Assessment Considering Crack Inspection Results

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초록

In general, an inspection schedule is established based on the long-term fatigue life during the design stage. However, in the design stage, it is difficult to clearly identify the uncertainty factors affecting long-term fatigue life. In this study, the probabilistic fatigue life assessment was conducted in accordance with the methodology of DNV-GL. Firstly, The initial crack distribution estimated through the initial crack propagation analysis was updated by reflecting the results of crack inspection. Secondly, the updated crack distribution was compared with the initial crack distribution, and the probability of failure was updated with the effect of crack inspection.

Abstract

In general, an inspection schedule is established based on the long-term fatigue life during the design stage. However, in the design stage, it is difficult to clearly identify the uncertainty factors affecting long-term fatigue life. In this study, the probabilistic fatigue life assessment was conducted in accordance with the methodology of DNV-GL. Firstly, The initial crack distribution estimated through the initial crack propagation analysis was updated by reflecting the results of crack inspection. Secondly, the updated crack distribution was compared with the initial crack distribution, and the probability of failure was updated with the effect of crack inspection.

참고문헌 (12)

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  4. DNV-GL Recommended Practice, "Probabilistic Methods for Planning of Inspection for Fatigue Cracks in Offshore Structures, DNV_GL-RP-C210", ~ (2015)
  5. Doshi, K., "Reliability based inspection planning using fracture mechanics based fatigue evaluations for ship structural details", Marine Structures, 54, pp.1~22 (2017)
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  7. 강범준, "ECA 기법을 이용한 해양구조물의 결함 평가", 대한조선학회 논문집, 52(6), pp.435~443 (2015), 대한조선학회
  8. Madsen, H. O., "Methods of structural safety" (1986), Prentice Hall
  9. Rizzo, C.M., "Fatigue crack growth assessment of welded joints in ships structures: A reliability-based sensitivity study", 25th International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering (2006)
  10. Straub, D., "Risk based inspection planning for structural systems", Structural Safety, 27(4), pp.335~355 (2005)
  11. Yan, X., "Prediction of fatigue crack growth in a ship detail under wave-induced loading", Ocean Engineering, 113, pp.246~254 (2016)
  12. Zhu, B., "Reliability assessment of ship structures using Bayesian updating", Engineering Structures, 56, pp.1836~1847 (2013)

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