기상청 현업 지역통합모델 물리과정 최적화를 통한 예측 성능 향상
The Improvement of Forecast Accuracy of the Unified Model at KMA by Using an Optimized Set of Physical Options
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초록
The UK Met Office Unified Model at the KMA has been operationally utilized as the next generation numerical prediction system since 2010 after it was first introduced in May,2008. Researches need to be carried out regarding various physical processes inside the model in order to improve the predictability of the newly introduced Unified Model. We first performed a preliminary experiment for the domain (170 × 170, 10 km, 38 layers) smaller than that of the operating system using the version 7.4 of the UM local model to optimize its physical processes. The result showed that about 7∼8% of the improvement ratio was found at each stage by integrating four factors (u, v, th, q), and the final improvement ratio was 25%. Verification was carried out for one month of August, 2008 by applying the optimized combination to the domain identical to the operating system, and the result showed that the precipitation verification score (ETS, equitable threat score) was improved by 9%, approximately.
Abstract
The UK Met Office Unified Model at the KMA has been operationally utilized as the next generation numerical prediction system since 2010 after it was first introduced in May,2008. Researches need to be carried out regarding various physical processes inside the model in order to improve the predictability of the newly introduced Unified Model. We first performed a preliminary experiment for the domain (170 × 170, 10 km, 38 layers) smaller than that of the operating system using the version 7.4 of the UM local model to optimize its physical processes. The result showed that about 7∼8% of the improvement ratio was found at each stage by integrating four factors (u, v, th, q), and the final improvement ratio was 25%. Verification was carried out for one month of August, 2008 by applying the optimized combination to the domain identical to the operating system, and the result showed that the precipitation verification score (ETS, equitable threat score) was improved by 9%, approximately.
참고문헌 (25)
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