본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

대기의 강이 한반도 지역별 강수에 미치는 영향

Influence of Atmospheric Rivers on Regional Precipitation in South Korea

2

조회

0

다운로드

4

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류대기과학

초록

This study investigates the influence of atmospheric river (AR) on precipitation over South Korea with a focus on regional characteristics. The 42-year-long catalog of ARs, which is obtained by applying the automatic AR detection algorithm to ERA5 reanalysis data and the insitu precipitation data recorded at 56 weather stations across the country are used to quantify their relationship. Approximately 51% of the climatological annual precipitation is associated with AR. The AR-related precipitation is most pronounced in summer by approximately 58%, while only limited fraction of precipitation (26%) is AR-related in winter. The heavy precipitation (> 30 mm day1) is more prone to AR activity (59%) than weak precipitation (5~30 mm day1; 33%) in all seasons. By grouping weather stations into the four sub-regions based on orography, it is found that the contribution of AR precipitation to the total is largest in the southern coast (57%) and smallest in the eastern coast (36%). Similar regional variations in AR precipitation fractions also occur in weak precipitation events. The regional contrast between the northern and southern stations is related to the seasonal variation of AR-frequency. In addition, the regional contrast between the western and eastern stations is partly modulated by the orographic forcing. The fractional contribution of AR to heavy precipitation exceeds 50% in all seasons, but this is true only in summer along the eastern coast. This result indicates that ARs play a critical role in heavy precipitation in South Korea, thus routine monitoring of ARs is needed for improving operational hydrometeorological forecasting.

Abstract

This study investigates the influence of atmospheric river (AR) on precipitation over South Korea with a focus on regional characteristics. The 42-year-long catalog of ARs, which is obtained by applying the automatic AR detection algorithm to ERA5 reanalysis data and the insitu precipitation data recorded at 56 weather stations across the country are used to quantify their relationship. Approximately 51% of the climatological annual precipitation is associated with AR. The AR-related precipitation is most pronounced in summer by approximately 58%, while only limited fraction of precipitation (26%) is AR-related in winter. The heavy precipitation (> 30 mm day1) is more prone to AR activity (59%) than weak precipitation (5~30 mm day1; 33%) in all seasons. By grouping weather stations into the four sub-regions based on orography, it is found that the contribution of AR precipitation to the total is largest in the southern coast (57%) and smallest in the eastern coast (36%). Similar regional variations in AR precipitation fractions also occur in weak precipitation events. The regional contrast between the northern and southern stations is related to the seasonal variation of AR-frequency. In addition, the regional contrast between the western and eastern stations is partly modulated by the orographic forcing. The fractional contribution of AR to heavy precipitation exceeds 50% in all seasons, but this is true only in summer along the eastern coast. This result indicates that ARs play a critical role in heavy precipitation in South Korea, thus routine monitoring of ARs is needed for improving operational hydrometeorological forecasting.

참고문헌 (43)

  1. "Atmospheric river. Glossary of Meteorology" (2017)[URL]
  2. J-W. Bao, "Interpretation of Enhanced Integrated Water Vapor Bands Associated with Extratropical Cyclones: Their Formation and Connection to Tropical Moisture", Monthly Weather Review, 134(4), pp.1063~1080 (2006), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  3. S. Brands, "Twentieth-century atmospheric river activity along the west coasts of Europe and North America: algorithm formulation, reanalysis uncertainty and links to atmospheric circulation patterns", Climate Dynamics, 48(9-10), pp.2771~2795 (2016), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
  4. Michael D. Dettinger, "Atmospheric Rivers, Floods and the Water Resources of California", Water, 3(2), pp.445~478 (2011), MDPI AG[DOI]
  5. Luis Gimeno, "Major Mechanisms of Atmospheric Moisture Transport and Their Role in Extreme Precipitation Events", Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 41(1), pp.117~141 (2016), Annual Reviews[DOI]
  6. Bin Guan, "Detection of atmospheric rivers: Evaluation and application of an algorithm for global studies", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120(24), pp.12514~12535 (2015), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  7. Hans Hersbach, "The ERA5 global reanalysis", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(730), pp.1999~2049 (2020), Wiley[DOI]
  8. Huancui Hu, "Linking Atmospheric River Hydrological Impacts on the U.S. West Coast to Rossby Wave Breaking", Journal of Climate, 30(9), pp.3381~3399 (2017), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  9. Norman W. Junker, "Use of Normalized Anomaly Fields to Anticipate Extreme Rainfall in the Mountains of Northern California", Weather and Forecasting, 23(3), pp.336~356 (2008), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  10. Youichi Kamae, "Atmospheric Rivers over the Northwestern Pacific: Climatology and Interannual Variability", Journal of Climate, 30(15), pp.5605~5619 (2017), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  11. Youichi KAMAE, "Climatological Relationship between Warm Season Atmospheric Rivers and Heavy Rainfall over East Asia", Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II, 95(6), pp.411~431 (2017), Meteorological Society of Japan[DOI]
  12. Kim, J., "Effects of atmospheric river landfalls on the cold season precipitation in California", Climate Dyn, 40, pp.465~474 (2013)[DOI]
  13. Kim, J., "Winter precipitation characteristics in western US related to atmospheric river landfalls : observations and model evaluations", Climate Dyn, 50, pp.231~248 (2018)[DOI]
  14. Jinwon Kim, "Precipitation characteristics related to atmospheric rivers in East Asia", International Journal of Climatology, 41(S1) (2020), Wiley[DOI]
  15. Christopher P. Konrad, "Flood Runoffin Relation to Water Vapor Transport by Atmospheric Rivers Over the Western United States, 1949–2015", Geophysical Research Letters, 44(22), pp.11,456~11,462 (2017), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  16. David A. Lavers, "The nexus between atmospheric rivers and extreme precipitation across Europe", Geophysical Research Letters, 40(12), pp.3259~3264 (2013), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  17. David A. Lavers, "The contribution of atmospheric rivers to precipitation in Europe and the United States", Journal of Hydrology, 522, pp.382~390 (2015), Elsevier BV[DOI]
  18. David A. Lavers, "Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers", Geophysical Research Letters, 38(23), pp.n (2011), a~n[DOI]
  19. Lee, S., "The distribution of precipitation in Cheju Island", J. Korean Geogr. Soc, 34, pp.123~136 (1999)
  20. 이승호, "우리나라 상세기후 지역의 구분", Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 41(6), pp.983~995 (2005), 한국기상학회
  21. 문혜진, "Atmospheric River 상륙이 한반도 강수와 기온에 미치는 영향 연구", 대기, 29(4), pp.343~353 (2019), 한국기상학회[DOI]
  22. Bryan D. Mundhenk, "All-Season Climatology and Variability of Atmospheric River Frequencies over the North Pacific", Journal of Climate, 29(13), pp.4885~4903 (2016), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  23. Deanna Nash, "The Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Extratropical and Polar Hydroclimate", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123(13), pp.6804~6821 (2018), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  24. Paul J. Neiman, "The Statistical Relationship between Upslope Flow and Rainfall in California's Coastal Mountains: Observations during CALJET", Monthly Weather Review, 130(6), pp.1468~1492 (2002), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  25. Chanil Park, "Distinct Features of Atmospheric Rivers in the Early Versus Late East Asian Summer Monsoon and Their Impacts on Monsoon Rainfall", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126(7) (2021), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  26. Chanil Park, "Record-breaking summer rainfall in South Korea in 2020: Synoptic characteristics and the role of large-scale circulations", Monthly Weather Review (2021), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  27. Chanil Park, "Diverse Synoptic Weather Patterns of Warm-Season Heavy Rainfall Events in South Korea", Monthly Weather Review, 149(11), pp.3875~3893 (2021), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  28. Homero Paltan, "Global Floods and Water Availability Driven by Atmospheric Rivers", Geophysical Research Letters, 44(20) (2017), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  29. Ashley E. Payne, "Dynamics of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers over the North Pacific in 30 Years of MERRA Reanalysis", Journal of Climate, 27(18), pp.7133~7150 (2014), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  30. Ashley E. Payne, "Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate change", Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1(3), pp.143~157 (2020), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
  31. F. M. Ralph, "Historical and National Perspectives on Extreme West Coast Precipitation Associated with Atmospheric Rivers during December 2010", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93(6), pp.783~790 (2012), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  32. F. Martin Ralph, "Satellite and CALJET Aircraft Observations of Atmospheric Rivers over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean during the Winter of 1997", 98, 2004, pp.132(7), 1721~1745[DOI]
  33. F. Martin Ralph, "Flooding on California's Russian River: Role of atmospheric rivers", Geophysical Research Letters, 33(13) (2006), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  34. F. M. Ralph, "Observed Impacts of Duration and Seasonality of Atmospheric-River Landfalls on Soil Moisture and Runoffin Coastal Northern California", Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14(2), pp.443~459 (2013), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  35. F. M. Ralph, "Dropsonde Observations of Total Integrated Water Vapor Transport within North Pacific Atmospheric Rivers", Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(9), pp.2577~2596 (2017), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  36. F. Martin Ralph, "Defining “Atmospheric River”: How the Glossary of Meteorology Helped Resolve a Debate", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(4), pp.837~839 (2018), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  37. Rutz, J. J., "Climatological characteristics of atmospheric rivers and their inland penetration over the western United States", Mon. Wea. Rev, 142, pp.905~921 (2014)[DOI]
  38. Jonathan J. Rutz, "The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Quantifying Uncertainties in Atmospheric River Climatology", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124(24), pp.13777~13802 (2019), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  39. Young Ryu, "A Multi‐Inventory Ensemble Analysis of the Effects of Atmospheric Rivers on Precipitation and Streamflow in the Namgang‐Dam Basin in Korea", Water Resources Research, 57(8) (2021), American Geophysical Union (AGU)[DOI]
  40. David M. Schultz, "Occluded Fronts and the Occlusion Process: A Fresh Look at Conventional Wisdom", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92(4), pp.443~466 (2011), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  41. Maximiliano Viale, "Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers on Precipitation in Southern South America", Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19(10), pp.1671~1687 (2018), American Meteorological Society[DOI]
  42. Duane Waliser, "Extreme winds and precipitation during landfall of atmospheric rivers", Nature Geoscience, 10(3), pp.179~183 (2017), Springer Science and Business Media LLC[DOI]
  43. Yong Zhu, "A Proposed Algorithm for Moisture Fluxes from Atmospheric Rivers", Monthly Weather Review, 126(3), pp.725~735 (1998), American Meteorological Society[DOI]

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (5건)