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HeMOSU-1호 관측풍속의 불확실성을 고려한 서남해안의 풍력 발전량 예측

Prediction of Wind Power Generation at Southwest Coast of Korea Considering Uncertainty of HeMOSU-1 Wind Speed Data

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초록

Wind power generation of 5 MW wind turbine was predicted by using wind measurement data from HeMOSU-1which is at south west coast of Korea. Time histories of turbulent wind was generated from 10-min mean wind speed and thenthey were used as input to Bladed to estimated electric power. Those estimated powers are used in both polynominal regressionand neural network training. They were compared with each other for daily production and yearly production. Effect of meanwind speed and turbulence intensity were quantitatively analyzed and discussed. This technique further can be used to assesslifetime power of wind turbine.

Abstract

Wind power generation of 5 MW wind turbine was predicted by using wind measurement data from HeMOSU-1which is at south west coast of Korea. Time histories of turbulent wind was generated from 10-min mean wind speed and thenthey were used as input to Bladed to estimated electric power. Those estimated powers are used in both polynominal regressionand neural network training. They were compared with each other for daily production and yearly production. Effect of meanwind speed and turbulence intensity were quantitatively analyzed and discussed. This technique further can be used to assesslifetime power of wind turbine.

참고문헌 (10)

  1. Korea Electric Power Corporation., "HeMOSU-1, Marine Meteorological Tower Acquisition Data (2011.3.1. - 2012.12.31.)", Korea Electric Power Corporation, ~ (2012)
  2. Manwell, J.F., "An offshore wind resource assessment study for New England", J. of Renewable Energy, 27(2), pp.175~187 (2002)
  3. 권순덕, "단기 관측을 통한 풍력에너지 평가", 한국풍공학회지, 12(3), pp.165~171 (2008), 한국풍공학회
  4. Ezzeldin, S., Abdin, "Control Design and Dynamic Performance Analysis of a Wind Turbine-Induction Generator Unit", IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, 15, pp.91~96 (2000)
  5. IEC, "Wind turbine - Powre performance measurements of electricity producing wind turbines", IEC, 2005
  6. Kim, H.G., "Analysis of Wind shear Patterns and Application of Measure-Correlate-Predict at Pohang Region", J. of the Korean Society for New and Renewable Energy, 1(2), pp.26~33 (2005)
  7. Rogers, A.L., "Comparison of the performance of four measure-correlatepredict algorithms", J. of Wind Engineering and industrial aerodynamics, 93, pp.243~264 (2005)
  8. Jonkman, J., "Definition of 5-MW Reference Wind Turbine for Offshore System Development", NREL, 2009
  9. 고정우, "제주 북동부 지역의 지형과 대기변수에 따른 AEP계산의 정확성에 대한 연구", 한국측량학회지, 30(3), pp.295~303 (2012), 한국측량학회[DOI]
  10. 현승건, "풍력발전시스템 출력에 대한 난류강도의 영향 연구", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 32(4), pp.17~23 (2012), 한국태양에너지학회

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