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Prediction of Planning Time in Busan Ports-Connected Expressways

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주제분류해상운송학

초록

Expressways mean the primary arterial highways with a high level of efficiency and safety. However, Gyeongbu and Namhae expressways connected with Busan ports are showing travel time delay by increased traffic including the medium/large-sized vehicles of about 20% compared to those of about 13% regardless of the peak periods. This study, thus, intends to analyze lane traffic characteristics in the basic 8-lane segments of the above-mentioned expressways, compute the planning and buffer times based on travel time reliability, find the lane speed showing a higher correlation with planning time between the lane speeds in the basic 8-lane segments, and finally suggest a correlation model for predicting the planning time in expressways.

Abstract

Expressways mean the primary arterial highways with a high level of efficiency and safety. However, Gyeongbu and Namhae expressways connected with Busan ports are showing travel time delay by increased traffic including the medium/large-sized vehicles of about 20% compared to those of about 13% regardless of the peak periods. This study, thus, intends to analyze lane traffic characteristics in the basic 8-lane segments of the above-mentioned expressways, compute the planning and buffer times based on travel time reliability, find the lane speed showing a higher correlation with planning time between the lane speeds in the basic 8-lane segments, and finally suggest a correlation model for predicting the planning time in expressways.

참고문헌 (5)

  1. 김태곤, "Prediction of Speed in Urban Freeway Having More Freight Vehicles - Based in I-696 in Michigan -", 한국항해항만학회지, 36(7), pp.591~597 (2012), 한국항해항만학회
  2. May, A. D., "Traffic Flow Theory", pp.07632~ (1990), Prentice Hall
  3. 오세창, "차량검지기 교통량 데이터를 이용한 고속도로 통행시간 추정 및 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구", 대한교통학회지, 21(5), pp.83~95 (2003), 대한교통학회
  4. Evaluating Alternative Operations Strategies to Improve Travel Time Reliability, Strategic Highway Research Program, "SHRP2", Transportation Research Board, ~, pp.Report S2-L11-RR-1 (2013)
  5. Traffic Flow Theory, A Monograph, "Transportation Research Board", Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, ~, pp.Special Report 165 (1975)

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