A Study on the Relationship between Marine accidents and Near-miss using PARK model
1
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Marine accidents often stem from near-miss incidents, which are critical indicators of potential collisions. Understanding the causal factors associated with these incidents is essential for enhancing maritime safety. This study employs the PARK model to identify causal factors related to maritime accidents, with a focus on near-miss incidents in Busan Port. By analyzing AIS data from 2017 to 2021, the research identifies 36 collision incidents. The PARK model assesses risk levels, setting a threshold of 5.0 for near-miss scenarios and examines the relationship between these incidents and actual collisions. The analysis indicates an average of 0.8 collisions per year, with the PARK model estimating a probability of approximately 2.34 collisions annually per million vessel encounters at a risk score of 5.0. This research highlights the effectiveness of the PARK model in identifying causal factors related to marine accidents. By correlating near-miss incidents with actual collision probabilities, the study offers insights that can improve reporting practices and proactive safety measures among vessel operators, ultimately contributing to enhanced maritime safety in South Korea.
Abstract
Marine accidents often stem from near-miss incidents, which are critical indicators of potential collisions. Understanding the causal factors associated with these incidents is essential for enhancing maritime safety. This study employs the PARK model to identify causal factors related to maritime accidents, with a focus on near-miss incidents in Busan Port. By analyzing AIS data from 2017 to 2021, the research identifies 36 collision incidents. The PARK model assesses risk levels, setting a threshold of 5.0 for near-miss scenarios and examines the relationship between these incidents and actual collisions. The analysis indicates an average of 0.8 collisions per year, with the PARK model estimating a probability of approximately 2.34 collisions annually per million vessel encounters at a risk score of 5.0. This research highlights the effectiveness of the PARK model in identifying causal factors related to marine accidents. By correlating near-miss incidents with actual collision probabilities, the study offers insights that can improve reporting practices and proactive safety measures among vessel operators, ultimately contributing to enhanced maritime safety in South Korea.
참고문헌 (27)
- ABS, "Guidance notes on the Investigation of Marine incidents", American Bureau of Shipping (2014)
- Bixler, J., "Expansion of the Reporting system paradigm to the United States maritime industry", Journal of transportation research forum, 48(2), pp.103~112 (2009)
- Chae, B. G., "A Study on the Effective Implementation of a Marine Incident System", Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment and Safety, 24(4), pp.398~407 (2018)
- Ha, J. M., "A Study on the Selection of VTS Marine Incident Classification Criteria at the Busan Port", Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment and Safety, 26(6), pp.615~623 (2020)
- Hasanspahić, N., "Improving Safety Management through Analysis of Near-Miss Reports —A Tanker Ship Case Study", Sustainability, 14(3), pp.1094~ (2022)
- Heinrich, H. W., "Industrial Accident Prevention: A Scientific Approach" (1941), McGraw-Hill Book Company, Inc
- Heo, T. Y., "A Study on the Development of Marine Traffic Risk Model for Mariners", Journal of Korean Society of Transportation, 30(5), pp.91~100 (2012)
- IMO, "RESOLUTION MSC.137(76), Standard for ship manoeuvrability", ~ (2002)
- IMO, "RESOLUTION MSC.255(84), ADOPTION OF THE CODE OF THE INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS AND RECOMMENDED PRACTICES FOR A SAFETY INVESTIGATION INTO A MARINE CASUALTY OR MARINE INCIDENT", ~ (2008)
- Final report on measures to ensure effectiveness of marine incident system, "Kang", Korea Institute of Maritime and Fisheries Technology, ~ (2017)
- Kang, S. Y., "A Study on the Revision of the Notification Form and Procedures of Marine Incident", Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety, 26(1), pp.39~46 (2020)
- Kim, J. S., "A Study on the Development of Basic Model for Marine Traffic Assessment Considering the Encounter Type Between Vessels", Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment and Safety, 17(3), pp.227~233 (2011)
- Kim, K. I., "A Study on Near-miss Incidents from Maritime Traffic Flow by Clustering Vessel Positions", Journal of Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems, 24(6), pp.603~608 (2014)
- Marine Accident Statistics report 2023, "KMST", Korea Maritime Safety Tribunal, ~ (2024)
- "2023Marine Accident Statistics Announcement" (2024)[URL]
- Final Report on the Development of Maritime Traffic Safety Assessment Model Technology, "Korea Maritime and Ocean University", Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport, ~ (2011)
- Lee, M. K., "A Study on the Evaluation of RADAR", ARPA Simulation Training Results, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, 2018
- Montewka, J., "Probability modelling of vessel collisions", Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 95(5), pp.573~589 (2010)
- Montewka, J., "Determination of collision criteria and causation factors appropriate to a model for estimating the probability of maritime accidents", Ocean Engineering, 40, pp.50~61 (2012)
- Nguyen, X. T., "A Comparison of ES and PARK Maritime Traffic Risk Assessment Models in a Korean Waterway", Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety, 21(3), pp.246~252 (2015)
- Nguyen X. T., "A Study on the Development of Real Time Supporting System(RTSS)for VTS Officers", PhD, pp.2014
- A Study on the Improvement of Marine Near-Miss inform System, "Park, S. W.", Korea Marine Institute, ~ (2023)
- Roh, B. S., "A Statistical Analysis of the Causes of Marine Incident occurring during Berthing", Journal of Navigation and Port research, 45(3), pp.95~101 (2021)
- Szłapczyński, R., "Holistic collision avoidance decision support system for watchkeeping deck officers", Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 250, pp.110232~ (2024)
- Vestre, A., "AIS-based near-collision database generation and analysis of real collision avoidance manoeuvres", Journal of Navigation, 74(5), pp.985~1008 (2021)
- Wang, N., "A unified analystical framework for ship domains", Journal of Navigation, 62, pp.643~655 (2009)
- Yoo, S. L., "Near-miss density map for safe navigation of ships", Ocean Engineering, 163, pp.15~21 (2018)