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Volatility for High Frequency Time Series Toward fGARCH (1,1) as a Functional Model

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As high frequency (HF, for short) time series is now prevalent in the presence of real time big data, volatility computations based on traditional ARCH/GARCH models need to be further developed to suit the high frequency characteristics. This article reviews realized volatilities (RV) and multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) to deal with high frequency volatility computations. As a (functional) infinite dimensional models, the fARCH and fGARCH are introduced to accommodate ultra high frequency (UHF) volatilities. The fARCH and fGARCH models are developed in the recent literature by Hormann et al. [1] and Aue et al. [2], respectively, and our discussions are mainly based on these two key articles. Real data applications to domestic UHF financial time series are illustrated.

Abstract

As high frequency (HF, for short) time series is now prevalent in the presence of real time big data, volatility computations based on traditional ARCH/GARCH models need to be further developed to suit the high frequency characteristics. This article reviews realized volatilities (RV) and multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) to deal with high frequency volatility computations. As a (functional) infinite dimensional models, the fARCH and fGARCH are introduced to accommodate ultra high frequency (UHF) volatilities. The fARCH and fGARCH models are developed in the recent literature by Hormann et al. [1] and Aue et al. [2], respectively, and our discussions are mainly based on these two key articles. Real data applications to domestic UHF financial time series are illustrated.

참고문헌 (15)

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  2. Aue A, "Functional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity", J Time Ser Anal, 38, pp.3~21 (2017)
  3. Bollerslev T, "Generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity", J Econometrics, 31, pp.307~327 (1986)
  4. 김지연, "비대칭형 분계점 실현변동성의 제안 및 응용", 응용통계연구, 31(2), pp.205~216 (2018), 한국통계학회
  5. Tsay RS, "Multivariate time series analysis with R and financial application" (2014), John Wiley
  6. 이근주, "다변량 고빈도 금융시계열의 변동성 분석", 응용통계연구, 30(1), pp.169~180 (2017), 한국통계학회
  7. Tsay RS, "Analysis of financial time series" (2010), John Wiley
  8. 윤재은, "Functional ARCH (fARCH) for high-frequency time series: illustration", 응용통계연구, 30(6), pp.983~991 (2017), 한국통계학회
  9. 윤재은, "함수적 변동성 fGARCH(1,1)모형을 통한 초고빈도 시계열 변동성", 응용통계연구, 31(5), pp.667~675 (2018), 한국통계학회
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  13. Brockwell PJ, "Time series : theory and methods" (1991), Springer
  14. Kowal DR, "Functional autoregression for sparsely sampled data", J Bus Econ Stat (2018)
  15. 황선영, "Statistical Issues on Instrumental Scores for Non-likelihood Stochastic Models", Quantitative Bio-Science, 36(2), pp.105~110 (2017), 자연과학연구소[DOI]

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