본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

Causes of Earnings Volatility and Risk Sharing

2

조회

0

다운로드

0

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

This paper investigates the causes of volatility of household heads’ earnings, evaluates the extent to which variability of the heads’ earnings is translated into changes in household consumption, and, in the process, identifies effective measures of smoothing idiosyncratic earnings variation. Analysis, based on the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) data,reveals that, although causes of the earnings volatility are multi-dimensional, job separations are closely related with substantial earnings changes. Evidence also shows that estimated volatility in the heads’ earnings is almost entirely smoothed by a combination of various smoothing measures, with the labor supply of other family members being the most effective measure among them. Overall, the current findings suggest that the welfare loss may not be as great as what is suggested by the observed volatility of the heads’ earnings.

Abstract

This paper investigates the causes of volatility of household heads’ earnings, evaluates the extent to which variability of the heads’ earnings is translated into changes in household consumption, and, in the process, identifies effective measures of smoothing idiosyncratic earnings variation. Analysis, based on the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) data,reveals that, although causes of the earnings volatility are multi-dimensional, job separations are closely related with substantial earnings changes. Evidence also shows that estimated volatility in the heads’ earnings is almost entirely smoothed by a combination of various smoothing measures, with the labor supply of other family members being the most effective measure among them. Overall, the current findings suggest that the welfare loss may not be as great as what is suggested by the observed volatility of the heads’ earnings.

참고문헌 (31)

  1. Asdrubali, P, "Channels of Interstate Risk-Sharing: United States 1963–--1990", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111, pp.1081~1110 (1996)
  2. Baker, M, "Earnings Dynamics and Inequality among Canadian Men, 1976-1992: Evidence from Longitudinal Income Tax Records", Journal of Labor Economics, 21, pp.289~321 (2003)
  3. Blundell, R, "Consumption Inequality and Partial Insurance", American Economic Review, 98, pp.1887~1921 (2008)
  4. "Earnings Variability in the United States: An Examination Using Matched-CPS Data"[URL]
  5. Understanding Earnings Instablity: How Important Are Employment Fluctuations and Job Changes, "Celik, S", U.S Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies, ~, pp.CES 09_20 (2009)
  6. Cochrane, J. H, "A Simple Test of Consumption Insurance", Journal of Political Economy, 99, pp.57~76 (1991)
  7. "Trends in Earnings Variability over the Past 20 Years"[URL]
  8. Cunha, F, "Separating Uncertainty from Heterogeneity in Life Cycle Earnings", Oxford Economic Papers, 57, pp.191~261 (2005)
  9. Devereux,P, "The Cyclicality of Real Wages within Employer-Employee Matches", Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 54, pp.835~850 (2001)
  10. "The Evolution of Household Income Volatility"[URL]
  11. Dynarski, S, "Can Families Smooth Variable Earnings", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, pp.229~284 (1997)
  12. Gorbachev, O, "Did Household Consumption become More Volatile", American Economic Review
  13. Gottschalk, P, "The Growth of Earnings Instability in the U.S. Labor Market", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, pp.217~254 (1994)
  14. Gottschalk, P, "Trends in Earnings Volatility in the U.S.: 1970-2002", ~ (2006)
  15. Guiso, L, "Insurance Within the Firm", Journal of Political Economy, 113, pp.1054~1087 (2005)
  16. Hacker,J.S, "The Great Risk Shift" (2006), Oxford University Press
  17. Haider,S.J, "Earnings Instability and Earnings Inequality of Males in the United States: 1967-1991", Journal of Labor Economics, 19, pp.799~836 (2001)
  18. Hayashi, F, "Risk Sharing Between and Within Families", Econometrica, 64, pp.261~294 (1996)
  19. Jacobson, L. S, "Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers", American Economic Review, 83, pp.685~709 (1993)
  20. Kim, B, "Implications of mean-reverting measurement error for longitudinal studies of wages and employment", REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, 87(1), pp.193~196 (2005), M I T PRESS
  21. Kopczuk, W, "Earnings Inequality and Mobility in the United States: Evidence from Social Security Data since 1937", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125, pp.91~128 (2010)
  22. Leonardi,M, "Earnings Instability of Job Stayers and Job Changers" (2008), Unpublished manuscript, University of Milan
  23. Mace,B.J, "Full Insurance in the Presence of Aggregate Uncertainty", Journal of Political Economy, 99, pp.928~956 (1991)
  24. "Trends in the Covariance Structure of Earnings in the U.S.: 1969-1987"[URL]
  25. Moffitt, R. A, "Trends in the Transitory Variance of Earnings in the United States", Economic Journal, 112, pp.C68~C73 (2002)
  26. Moffitt, R. A, "Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings in the U.S., 1970-2004", ~ (2008)
  27. Ki Seong Park, "How Do Families Smooth Household Heads' Earnings Volatility", Journal of Economic Research (JER), 15(1), pp.79~97 (2010), 경제연구소
  28. 1Schmidt,P, "Econometrics" (1976), Dekker
  29. Shin, D, "Trends in Men's Earnings Volatility: What Does the Panel Study of Income Dynamics Show", Journal of Public Economics, 93, pp.973~982 (2011)
  30. Stevens,A.H, "Persistent Effects of Job Displacement: The Importance of Multiple Job Losses", Journal of Labor Economics, 15, pp.165~188 (1997)
  31. Stevens,A.H, "Changes in Earnings Instability and Job Loss", Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 55, pp.60~78 (2001)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (6건)