본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

Utility Curvature and Unemployment Volatility

3

조회

0

다운로드

0

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

Can we resolve the unemployment volatility puzzle (Shimer 2005) despite the cyclical opportunity cost of employment? Chodorow-Reich and Karabarbounis (2016) found that the opportunity cost of employment is highly procyclical, which poses significant challenges to the models of labor market fluctuations. Introducing procyclical opportunity cost inevitably weakens wage rigidity regardless of the exact types of wage bargaining, and it dampens the labor market volatility. We study the roles of the utility curvature and the intensive margin of labor supply, which not only induces the opportunity cost of employment procyclical but also generates additional sources of labor market fluctuations - cyclical stochastic discount factor and hours worked. Our model with alternating-offer wage bargaining can replicate the observed labor market volatility, with the help of high elasticity of intertemporal substitution, despite the cyclical opportunity cost of employment.

Abstract

Can we resolve the unemployment volatility puzzle (Shimer 2005) despite the cyclical opportunity cost of employment? Chodorow-Reich and Karabarbounis (2016) found that the opportunity cost of employment is highly procyclical, which poses significant challenges to the models of labor market fluctuations. Introducing procyclical opportunity cost inevitably weakens wage rigidity regardless of the exact types of wage bargaining, and it dampens the labor market volatility. We study the roles of the utility curvature and the intensive margin of labor supply, which not only induces the opportunity cost of employment procyclical but also generates additional sources of labor market fluctuations - cyclical stochastic discount factor and hours worked. Our model with alternating-offer wage bargaining can replicate the observed labor market volatility, with the help of high elasticity of intertemporal substitution, despite the cyclical opportunity cost of employment.

참고문헌 (45)

  1. Andolfatto, D., "Business Cycles and Labor-market Search", American Economic Review, 86(1), pp.112~132 (1996)
  2. Attanasio, Orazio P., "Stock-Market Participation, Intertemporal Substitution, and Risk-Aversion", American Economic Review, 93(2), pp.383~391 (2003)
  3. Attanasio, Orazio P., "Consumption Growth, the Interest Rate and Aggregation", Review of Economic Studies, 60(3), pp.631~649 (1993)
  4. Bansal, Ravi, "Risks for the Long Run : A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles", Journal of Finance, 59(4), pp.1481~1509 (2004)
  5. Barnichon, Regis, "Productivity and Unemployment over the Business Cycle", Journal of Monetary Economics, 57(8), pp.1013~1025 (2010)
  6. Barnichon, Regis, "Building a Composite Help-Wanted Index", Economics Letters, 109(3), pp.175~178 (2010)
  7. Barro, Robert J., "Rare Disasters, Asset Prices, and Welfare Costs", American Economic Review, 99(1), pp.243~264 (2009)
  8. Biddle, JeffE., "Retrospectives : The Cyclical Behavior of Labor Productivity and the Emergence of the Labor Hoarding Concept", Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(2), pp.197~212 (2014)
  9. Bils, Mark, "Worker Heterogeneity and Endogenous Separations in a Matching Model of Unemployment Fluctuations", American Economic Journal : Macroeconomics, 3, pp.128~154 (2011)
  10. Cairó, Isabel, "The Cyclicality of Labor Force Participation Flows : The Role of Labor Supply Elasticities and Wage Rigidity", Review of Economic Dynamics, Volume, 43, pp.197~216 (2022)
  11. Campbell, John Y., "Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1", pp.1231~1303 (1999), Elsevier
  12. Chéron, A., "Labor Market Search and Real Business Cycles : Reconciling Nash Bargaining with the Real Wage Dynamics", Review of Economic Dynamics, 7(2), pp.476~493 (2004)
  13. Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel, "The Cyclicality of the Opportunity Cost of Employment", Journal of Political Economy, 124(6), pp.1563~1618 (2016)
  14. The Macroeconomics of Delegated Management, "Danthine, Jean-Pierre", ~ (2004)
  15. Davis, Steven J, "The Establishment-Level Behavior of Vacancies and Hiring", The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128(2), pp.581~622 (2013)
  16. den Haan, Wouter J., "Job Destruction and Propagation of Shocks", American Economic Review, 90(3), pp.482~498 (2000)
  17. Eusepi, Stefano, "Consumption Heterogeneity, Employment Dynamics and Macroeconomic Co-movement", Journal of Monetary Economics, 71, pp.13~32 (2015)
  18. Fernald, John G., "Why Has the Cyclicality of Productivity Changed? What Does It Mean", Annual Review of Economics, 8(1), pp.465~496 (2016)
  19. Fujita, Shigeru, "Job Matching and Propagation", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(11), pp.3671~3698 (2007)
  20. Gourio, François, "Disaster Risk and Business Cycles", American Economic Review, 102(6), pp.2734~2766 (2012)
  21. Gruber, Jonathan, "A Tax-Based Estimate of the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution", Quarterly Journal of Finance, 3(01), pp.1~20 (2013)
  22. Guvenen, Fatih, "Reconciling Conflicting Evidence on the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution : A Macroeconomic Perspective", Journal of Monetary Economics, 53(7), pp.1451~1472 (2006)
  23. Hagedorn, Marcus, "The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies Revisited", American Economic Review, 98(4), pp.1692~1706 (2008)
  24. Hall, Robert E., "Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption", Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), pp.339~357 (1988)
  25. Hall, Robert E., "Reconciling Cyclical Movements in the Marginal Value of Time and the Marginal Product of Labor", Journal of Political Economy, 117(2), pp.281~323 (2009)
  26. Hall, Robert E., "High Discounts and High Unemployment", American Economic Review, 107(2), pp.305~330 (2017)
  27. Hall, Robert E., "The Limited Influence of Unemployment on the Wage Bargain", American Economic Review, 98(4), pp.1653~1674 (2008)
  28. Hosios, Arthur J., "On the Efficiency of Matching and Related Models of Search and Unemployment", Review of Economic Studies, 57(2), pp.279~298 (1990)
  29. Kilic, Mete, "Risk, Unemployment, and the Stock Market : A Rare-Events-Based Explanation of Labor Market", The Review of Financial Studies, 12, pp.4762~4814 (2018)
  30. Merz, Monika, "Search in the Labor Market and the Real Business Cycle", Journal of Monetary Economics, 36(2), pp.269~300 (1995)
  31. Mortensen, Dale T., "Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment", Review of Economic Studies, 61(3), pp.397~415 (1994)
  32. Nakajima, Makoto, "Business Cycles in the Equilibrium Model of Labor Market Search and Self-insurance", International Economic Review, 53(2), pp.399~432 (2012)
  33. Nakamura, Emi, "Crises and Recoveries in an Empirical Model of Consumption Disasters", American Economic Journal : Macroeconomics, 5(3), pp.35~74 (2013)
  34. Ohanian, Lee E., "Aggregate Hours Worked in OECD Countries : New Measurement and Implications for Business Cycles", Journal of Monetary Economics, 59(1), pp.40~56 (2012)
  35. Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas, "Solving the Diamond–Mortensen–Pissarides Model Accurately", Quantitative Economics, 8(2), pp.611~650 (2017)
  36. Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas, "Unemployment Crises", Journal of Monetary Economics, 117, pp.335~353 (2021)
  37. Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas, "Endogenous Disasters", American Economic Review, 108(8), pp.2212~2245 (2018)
  38. Pissarides, Christopher A., "The Unemployment Volatility Puzzle : Is Wage Stickiness the Answer", Econometrica, 77(5), pp.1339~1369 (2009)
  39. Pistaferri, Luigi, "Anticipated and Unanticipated Wage Changes, Wage Risk, and Intertemporal Labor Supply", Journal of Labor Economics, 21(3), pp.729~754 (2003)
  40. Ravn, Morten O., "On Adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott Filter for the Frequency of Observations", Review of Economics and Statistics, 84(2), pp.371~376 (2002)
  41. Rogerson, Richard, "Involuntary Unemployment in Economies with Efficient Risk Sharing", Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(3), pp.501~515 (1988)
  42. Shimer, Robert, "The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies", American Economic Review, 95(1), pp.25~49 (2005)
  43. Silva, José Ignacio, "Labor Turnover Costs and the Cyclical Behavior of Vacancies and Unemployment", Macroeconomic Dynamics, 13(S1), pp.76~96 (2009)
  44. Tauchen, George, "Finite State Markov-chain Approximations to Univariate and Vector Autoregressions", Economics Letters, 20(2), pp.177~181 (1986)
  45. van Binsbergen, Jules H., "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a DSGE Model with Recursive Preferences", Journal of Monetary Economics, 59(7), pp.634~648 (2012)

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (6건)