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Factor-Augmented VAR (FAVAR) model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Korea

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주제분류경제학

초록

This study develops Factor-Augemented Vector Auto-Regression (FAVAR) Model to analyze monetary policy transmission mechanism in Korea for the period from 1990s, in which inflation targeting is adopted and the short-term interest rate is used as the main policy instrument. Some drawbacks of simple VAR models are discussed first, and then FAVAR model is developed to overcome the drawbacks. Monetary policy transmission mechanism can be inferred more efficiently and consistently by using FAVAR model since FAVAR model allows to use information from a large number of variables and to analyze the responses of a large number of variables simultaneously.

Abstract

This study develops Factor-Augemented Vector Auto-Regression (FAVAR) Model to analyze monetary policy transmission mechanism in Korea for the period from 1990s, in which inflation targeting is adopted and the short-term interest rate is used as the main policy instrument. Some drawbacks of simple VAR models are discussed first, and then FAVAR model is developed to overcome the drawbacks. Monetary policy transmission mechanism can be inferred more efficiently and consistently by using FAVAR model since FAVAR model allows to use information from a large number of variables and to analyze the responses of a large number of variables simultaneously.

참고문헌 (16)

  1. 김소영, "소규모 개방 경제에서의 통화 정책의 충격: 한국 경제의 경우", 경제 분석, 5(4), pp.117~135 (1999)
  2. 김소영, "통화 정책 충격의 거시 경제적 효과에 관한 실증 분석 문헌 : 통화 정책 충격의 식별에 관한 문제를 중심으로", 금융연구, 12(2), pp.95~126 (2007), 한국금융학회
  3. 김현의, ""통화정책의 파급시차" in 금융환경 변화와 통화정책" (2000), 지식산업사
  4. 오정근, ""통화정책의 파급경로: 금리파급경로" in 금융환경 변화와 통화정책" (2000), 지식산업사
  5. 이항용, "통화정책의 실물경제 파급효과에 관한 연구", 한국개발연구원 정책연구시리즈, 13 (2005)
  6. 장동구, "우리나라 통화정책의 파급효과 분석:파급경로별 상대적 중요성을 중심으로", 금융연구, 16(1), pp.1~47 (2002), 한국금융연구원
  7. Bernanke, B. S., "Measuring the effects of monetary policy: A factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), pp.387~422 (2005)
  8. Christiano, L., "The effects of monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the flow of funds", Review of Economics and Statistics, 78, pp.16~34 (1996)
  9. Christiano, L. J., "Monetary policy shocks: What have we learned and to what end? Handbook of macroeconomics", pp.65~148 (1999), Amsterdam
  10. Kim, S., "International transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks: Evidence from VAR’s", Journal of Monetary Economics, 48(2), pp.339~372 (2001)
  11. Inflation targeting in Korea: Model of success? in Monetary policy in east Asia: Approaches and implementations, "Kim, S.", BIS, 140~164, pp.BIS Papers No. 31 (2006)
  12. Leeper, E. M., "What does monetary policy do?", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, (2), pp.1~63 (1996)
  13. Leeper, E. M., "In search of the liquidity effect", Journal of Monetary Economics, 29(3), pp.341~369 (1992)
  14. Reichenstein, W., "The impact of money on short term interest rates", Economic Inquiry, 25(1), pp.67~82 (1987)
  15. Sims, C. A., "Macroeconomics and reality", Econometrica, 48, pp.1~48 (1980)
  16. Sims, C. A., "Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts: The effects of monetary policy", European Economic Review, 36, pp.975~1000 (1992)

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