Asset Allocation Strategies for Long-Term Investments
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
As the life expectancy increases resulting in the aged society, the post-retirement life became one of the most important concerns of people. The long-term investment vehicles such as retirement savings and pension plans have been introduced to meet such demand of society. This paper examines the impact of asset allocation strategies on the long-term investment performance. Because of the unusually long investment horizon and the compounding effect, a suboptimal asset mix in a retirement plan can be a very costly and irreversible mistake. Instead of relying on anecdotal evidence to evaluate the merits of different allocation strategies, this paper performs various tests including stochastic dominance tests using both actual data and Monte Carlo simulated data that best fit the historical experience. The results indicate 1) the long-term investments perform better than the short-term investments, 2) the optimal asset allocation strategy for the long-term investments should be highly equity dominated.
Abstract
As the life expectancy increases resulting in the aged society, the post-retirement life became one of the most important concerns of people. The long-term investment vehicles such as retirement savings and pension plans have been introduced to meet such demand of society. This paper examines the impact of asset allocation strategies on the long-term investment performance. Because of the unusually long investment horizon and the compounding effect, a suboptimal asset mix in a retirement plan can be a very costly and irreversible mistake. Instead of relying on anecdotal evidence to evaluate the merits of different allocation strategies, this paper performs various tests including stochastic dominance tests using both actual data and Monte Carlo simulated data that best fit the historical experience. The results indicate 1) the long-term investments perform better than the short-term investments, 2) the optimal asset allocation strategy for the long-term investments should be highly equity dominated.
참고문헌 (20)
- Alestalo, N, "Asset Allocation in Finnish Pension Funds", Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 5(1), pp.27~44 (2006)
- Barberis, N., "Investing for the Long Run When Returns Are Predictable", Journal of Finance, 55, pp.225~264 (2000)
- Benari, Y., "An Asset Allocation Paradigm", 14(2), pp.47~51 (1988)
- "Asset Allocation Strategies, Investopedia (A Forbes Media Company)"[URL]
- Bhide, A., "Return to Judgment", Journal of Portfolio Management, pp.19~25 (1994)
- Bodie, Z., "On the Risk of Stocks in the Long Run", Financial Analysts Journal, 51, pp.18~22 (1995)
- Chen, A, "Taxes and Pension Fund Asset Allocation", Journal of Portfolio Management, 18(4), pp.24~27 (1992)
- Fama, E, "Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns", Journal of Financial Economics, 22, pp.3~25 (1988)
- Fama, E, "Business Conditions and Expected Returns on Stocks and Bonds", Journal of Financial Economics, 25, pp.23~49 (1989)
- Fenner, E., "How to Grow a Lush 401(k)", Money, pp.92~107 (1992)
- Ibbotson, R, "Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation 2004 Yearbook" (2004), Ibbotson Associates, Inc.
- Keim, D, "Predicting Returns in the Stock and Bond Markets", Journal of Financial Economics, 17, pp.357~390 (1986)
- Lee, H., "Asset Allocation Based on Ages,” Seoul Business, Mar. 23", ~ (2008)
- Leibowitz, M, "Shortfall Risk and the Asset Allocation Decision:A Simulation Analysis of Stock and Bond Risk Profiles", Journal of Portfolio Management, pp.61~68 (1989)
- Merton, R., "An intertemporal capital asset pricing model", Econometrica, 41, pp.867~887 (1973)
- Poterba, J, "Mean Reversion in Stock Prices:Evidence and Implications", Journal of Financial Economics, 22, pp.27~60 (1988)
- Rozeff, M., "Lump-Sum Investing vs Dollar-Averaging", Journal of Portfolio Management, pp.45~50 (1994)
- Samuelson, P., "Lifetime Portfolio Selection by Dynamic Stochastic Programming", Review of Economics and Statistics, 51, pp.239~246 (1969)
- Samuelson, P., "The Long-Term Case for Equities", Journal of Portfolio Management, pp.15~24 (1994)
- Siegel, J., "Stocks for the Long Run, 3rd ed." (2002), McGraw-Hill
