환승객을 고려한 버스 정류장 승객 대기 시뮬레이션: 청주 시외 버스 터미널 정류장 사례 연구
Bus stop passenger waiting simulation considering transfer passengers: A case study at Cheongju Intercity Bus Terminal
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초록
버스카드를 활용한 통합 요금제 시행 이 후 대중교통 통행량 및 환승 통행량은 증가하였다. 이에 따라 버스 운영에 있어서 환승객을 고려하는 것은 보다 중요해졌다. 기존 연구들에서는 환승객을 고려할 때 결정적 수리모델을 제안하여 승객과 버스의 확률적인 움직임을 반영하지 못하는 한계가 있었으나 본 연구에서는 미시 시뮬레이션 모델을 바탕으로 하여 보다 실제적인 버스 정류장 모델을 제안하였다. 제안한 시뮬레이션 모델을 기반으로 버스 도착 간격과 승객 대기 시간의 관계를 회귀 모델로 표현하였으며 환승객을 고려할 때와 고려하지 않을 때의 차이를 실증적으로 검증하였다. 또한 승객 대기 시간을 비용으로 변환하는 방법을 제안하고 이를 바탕으로 하여 최적 버스 도착 간격을 제안하였다. 연구에서 제안한 방법을 활용하면 버스 운영에 있어서 보다 현실을 반영한 상향식 의사결정을 가능하게 해줄 것으로 기대된다.
Abstract
After the integrated fare system has been applied, public transportation and transfer traffic increased. As a result, transfer passengers must be considered in the operation of the bus. Although previous studies have limitations due to utilizing deterministic mathematical models, which fails to reflect the stochastic movements of passengers and buses, in this study, a more realistic bus stop micro-simulation model is proposed. Based on the proposed simulation model, we represent the relationship between bus arrival interval and passenger wait time as a regression model and empirically show the differences between the cases with and without transfer passengers. Also, we propose a method converting passenger waiting time to cost and find optimal bus arrival interval based on the converted cost. It is expected the proposed method enables bottom-up decision making reflecting practical situation.
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