본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

Extreme Risk Spillover in Financial Markets: Evidence from the Recent Financial Crisis

1

조회

0

다운로드

1

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

This paper evaluates the data from the recent financial crisis to examine the risk spillover effects of financial markets value at risk (VaR), which captures the extreme behavior of an asset, is considered a measure of risk in an asset or in a market. We hypothesize that an extreme downside movement of returns in a market measured by a VaR has negative effects on other markets, causing a similar movement of returns in the latter. In particular, we postulate that in the recent crisis, an extreme downside movement in a major market affected other markets, and that these effects intensified. Our empirical results based on the data from several countries with various markets confirm these postulates.

Abstract

This paper evaluates the data from the recent financial crisis to examine the risk spillover effects of financial markets value at risk (VaR), which captures the extreme behavior of an asset, is considered a measure of risk in an asset or in a market. We hypothesize that an extreme downside movement of returns in a market measured by a VaR has negative effects on other markets, causing a similar movement of returns in the latter. In particular, we postulate that in the recent crisis, an extreme downside movement in a major market affected other markets, and that these effects intensified. Our empirical results based on the data from several countries with various markets confirm these postulates.

참고문헌 (19)

  1. Chakrabarti R., "East Asia and Europe during the 1997 Asian collapse: A clinical study of a financial crisis", Journal of Financial Markets, 5(1), pp.1~30 (2002)
  2. Cheung, W., "Global Capital Market Interdependence and Spillover Effect of Credit Risk: Evidence from the 2007-2009 Global Financial Crisis", Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, 20(s 1-2), pp.85~103 (2010)
  3. Engle, R. F., "Modelling the Persistence of Conditional Variances", Econometric Reviews, 5, pp.1~50 (1986)
  4. Engle, R. F., "Meteor Shower or Heat Wave? Heteroskedastic Intra-Daily Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market", Econometrica, 59, pp.524~542 (1990)
  5. Engle, R. F., "CAViaR Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 22, pp.524~542 (2004)
  6. Engle, R. F., "Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility", The Journal of Finance, 48(5), pp.1749~1778 (1993)
  7. Granger, C. W. J., "Testing for Causality a Personal View", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2, pp.329~352 (1980)
  8. Glosten, Lawrence R., "On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks", The Journal of Finance, 48(5), pp.1779~1801 (1993)
  9. Hong, Y, "A Test for Volatility Spillover with Applications to Exchange Rates", Journal of Econometrics, 103, pp.183~224 (2001)
  10. Hong, Y., "Extreme Risk Spillover Between Chinese Stock Markets and International Stock Markets", China Economic Quarterly Beijing, (3), pp.703~726 (2004)
  11. Hong, Y., "Granger Causality in Risk and Detection of Extreme Risk Spillover between Financial Markets", Journal of Econometrics, 150, pp.271~287 (2009)
  12. J. P. Morgan, "Risk Metrics Technical Document" (1994), Morgan Guaranty Trust Company
  13. Kose, M., "Understanding the Evolution of World Business Cycles", Journal of International Economics, 75(1), pp.110~130 (2008)
  14. 이근영, "주가와 환율의 동태분석:아시아 국가들의 경우", 국제경제연구, 9(3), pp.259~290 (2003), 한국국제경제학회
  15. 이진, "Testing for risk spillover between stock market and foreign exchange market in Korea", Journal of Economic Research (JER), 14(3), pp.329~340 (2009), 경제연구소
  16. Longstaff, F. A., "The Subprime Credit Crisis and Contagion in Financial Markets", Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), pp.436~450 (2010)
  17. Ng, Angela, "Volatility Spillover Effects from Japan and the US to the Pacific Basin", Journal of International Money and Finance, 19, pp.207~233 (2000)
  18. Yang, J., "Stock Market Integration and Financial Crises: the Case of Asia", Applied Financial Economics, 13(7), pp.477~486 (2002)
  19. Yang, J., "The Emerging Market Crisis and Stock Market Linkages: Further Evidence", Journal of Applied Econometrics, 21(6), pp.727~744 (2006)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (6건)