버스정보시스템(BIS) 운행데이터를 이용한 실시간 지체시간 산정모형 구축

Abstract

This study is to estimate delay time model of signalized intersection by using travel data of Bus Information System. BIS, which applies the advanced information technology to an existing bus system, has been developing and operating in many cities. However, even though some useful traffic informations have been collected from BIS operation, utilization of real-time data to the traffic operation has not been promoted due to the inhomogeneity of modal speeds. Accordingly, in this study, a fundamental research is performed for traffic controls in urban areas and providing a traffic information throughout a methodology for estimating delay time using the data from BIS was developed. This delay time model setting bus travel time excluding service time of a bus stop as explanatory variables was constructed as a regression model, and the coefficient of determination of a linear regression model most highly appeared as 0.826. As a result of performing T-test with field survey values and model estimation values for verifying constructed models statistically, it was analyzed to be statistically significant in a confidence level of 95%.