직립식 방파제의 마루높이 산정을 위한 최대월파량에 대한 신뢰성 해석
Reliability Analysis of Maximum Overtopping Volume for Evaluating Freeboard of Vertical Breakwaters
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초록
개별파 최대월파량 개념을 이용하여 직립식 방파제의 마루높이를 산정할 수 있는 신뢰성 해석 모형이 개발되었다. 입사파랑이 작용하는 시간 동안 월파되는 파랑의 개수와 상대마루높이 그리고 평균월파유량의 함수로 정의되는 개별파 최대월파량과 그 허용치를 이용하여 신뢰함수를 수립하였다. 상대적으로 다른 불확실성을 갖는 관련 경험계수들을 확률변수로 고려하여 신뢰성 해석을 수행할 수 있는 Level III MCS 기법을 제시하였다. 장봉파 및 단봉파 조건에서 입사파향, 직립식 방파제의 구조형식 그리고 개별파 최대월파량의 허용수준을 변화시키면서 상대 마루높이에 따른 파괴확률을 산정하였다.
Abstract
A reliability analysis model is developed for evaluating the crest freeboard of vertical breakwaters based on the concepts of maximum overtopping volume of individual wave. A reliability function is formulated by defining the margin of admissible overtopping volume and maximum overtopping volume that is depend on the number of overtopping waves, dimensionless crest freeboard, and mean overtopping discharge. In addition, Level III MCS technique is straightforwardly suggested by which the related empirical parameters to reliability function can be considered to be random variables with the wide range of different uncertainties. It can be possible to calculate the probabilities of failure according to the relative crest freeboard with the variations of the incident wave directions, the structural types of vertical breakwaters, and admissible overtopping volumes in conditions of the long and short crested-waves.
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