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Numerical Study on Propagation Characteristics of Tsunami Induced by Tokai, Tonankai and Nankai Massive Earthquakes

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초록

After the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake, it has been pointed out that Tokai, Tonankai and Nankai massive earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 could strike the Pacific coasts in western Japan. This study aims at investigatingnumerically propagation characteristics of tsunami generated by a 9.0 magnitude Tokai, Tonankai and Nankai massiveearthquakes on the Pacific coasts and three major bays in Japan, Tokyo Bay, Ise Bay and Osaka Bay. It was revealed fromthe numerical results that the tsunami heights on the Pacific coasts for M9.0 earthquake were about twice as much as thosefor M8.7 earthquake and the first tsunami arrival time was faster at some areas distant from the tsunami source. Moreover,high water level in the bays was recognized to continue for a long time because of the enclosed bays.

Abstract

After the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake, it has been pointed out that Tokai, Tonankai and Nankai massive earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 could strike the Pacific coasts in western Japan. This study aims at investigatingnumerically propagation characteristics of tsunami generated by a 9.0 magnitude Tokai, Tonankai and Nankai massiveearthquakes on the Pacific coasts and three major bays in Japan, Tokyo Bay, Ise Bay and Osaka Bay. It was revealed fromthe numerical results that the tsunami heights on the Pacific coasts for M9.0 earthquake were about twice as much as thosefor M8.7 earthquake and the first tsunami arrival time was faster at some areas distant from the tsunami source. Moreover,high water level in the bays was recognized to continue for a long time because of the enclosed bays.

참고문헌 (7)

  1. "Report about the Tonankai-Nankai earthquake (draft)" (2003)[URL]
  2. Furumura, T., "A revised tsunami source model for the 1707 Hoei earthquake and simulation of tsunami inundation of Ryujin Lake, Kyushu, Japan", J. Geophys. Res, 116, pp.2156~2202 (2011)
  3. Numerical Method of Tsunami Simulation with the Leap-Frog Scheme (IUGG, "IOC Time Project)", Goto, C., 1997, pp.130~, IOC Manuals and Guides 35
  4. Imai, K., "Amplification of tsunami heights by delayed rupture of great earthquakes along the Nankai trough", Earth Planets Space, 62(4), pp.427~432 (2010)
  5. 이광호, "일본 태평양 연안의 Tokai, Tonankai 및 Nankai의 3연동지진에 의한 지진해일이 제주도 연안에 미치는 영향", 한국해안·해양공학회논문집, 24(4), pp.295~304 (2012), 한국해안,해양공학회
  6. Mori, N., "Nationwide post event survey and analysis of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake tsunami", Coast. Eng. J., 54(1), pp.1250001~ (2011)
  7. "largest earthquakes in the world since 1900. USGS earthquake hazards program" (2012)[URL]

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