서남해안 연안 해양기상 관측자료의 지속시간 특성 분석
Persistence Analysis of Observed Metocean Data in the Southwest Coast in Korea
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초록
해양 물리 환경 인자의 지속시간 분석은 작업시간, 설계와 같은 해안공학적 관점에서 요구되는 분석으로해역 이용에 필수로 선행되어야하는 기초 분석이다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 해양기상관측부이 중 우리나라 서남해안4개 관측 지점(덕적도, 외연도, 거문도, 거제도)의 풍속 및 유의파고 자료의 지속시간 분석을 수행하였다. 기준풍속은1~15 m/s, 기준유의파고는 0.25~3.0 m의 범위를 설정하고 관측자료가 이를 넘어서 지속되는 시간을 산정했다. 분석결과, 풍속과 유의파고의 지속시간은 기준값이 높아질수록 급격히 감소했으며, 최대 기준 조건에서 지속시간의 중간값은 풍속이 최대 5시간, 유의파고는 최대 8시간으로 계산되었다. 1% 미만의 확률로 발생하는 지속시간은 기준풍속이15 m/s일 때 최대 52시간, 기준유의파고가 3m일 때 최대 56시간으로 나타났다. 향후 우리나라 전 해역을 대상으로해양기상 자료의 지속시간 분석을 수행할 수 있으며, 다양한 공학적 활용이 기대된다.
Abstract
The persistence analysis of marine physical environment factors is a basic analysis that must precede the use of sea areas as an analysis required in the coastal engineering such as downtime and design. In this study, the persistence analysis was implemented for wind speed and significant wave height data from four observation points of Deokjeokdo, Oeyeondo, Geomundo, and Geojedo among the marine meteorological observation buoys of the Korea Meteorological Administration. The persistence time means the consecutive time of observation data beyond specific level. The threshold wind speed and significant wave height were set in the range of 1~15 m/s and the range of 0.25~3.0 m, respectively. Then, the persistence time was extracted. As a result of the analysis, the persistence time of wind speed and significant wave height decreased rapidly as the reference value increased. The median persistence times under the maximum reference thresholds were assessed as a maximum of 5 hours for wind speed and a maximum of 8 hours for significant wave height. When the reference wind speed and significant wave height were 15 m/s and 3 m, respectively, the persistence time that could occur with a 1% probability were 52 and 56 hours. This study can be expanded to all coastal areas in Korea, and it is expected that various engineering applications by performing a persistence analysis of the metocean data.
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