제주 북동부지역을 대상으로 한 WindPRO의 예측성능 평가
Evaluation of the Performance on WindPRO Prediction in the Northeast Region of Jeju Island
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참고문헌
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초록
In order to clarify predictive accuracy for the wind resource predicted by running WindPRO(Ver. 2.5) which is software for wind farm design developed by EMD from Denmark, an investigation was carried out at the northeast region of Jeju island. The Hangwon, Susan and Hoichun sites of Jeju island were selected for this study. The measurement period of wind at the sites was for one year. As a result, when the sites had different energy roses, though the two Wind Statistics made by STATGEN module were used for the prediction, it was difficult to exactly predict the energy rose at a given site. On the other hand, when the two Wind Statistics were used to predict the average wind speed, the wind power density and the annual energy production, the relative error was under ±20% which improved more than that when using only one Wind Statistics.
Abstract
In order to clarify predictive accuracy for the wind resource predicted by running WindPRO(Ver. 2.5) which is software for wind farm design developed by EMD from Denmark, an investigation was carried out at the northeast region of Jeju island. The Hangwon, Susan and Hoichun sites of Jeju island were selected for this study. The measurement period of wind at the sites was for one year. As a result, when the sites had different energy roses, though the two Wind Statistics made by STATGEN module were used for the prediction, it was difficult to exactly predict the energy rose at a given site. On the other hand, when the two Wind Statistics were used to predict the average wind speed, the wind power density and the annual energy production, the relative error was under ±20% which improved more than that when using only one Wind Statistics.
참고문헌 (10)
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- 경남호, "복잡지형에서의 WAsP 예측성 향상 연구", 한국태양에너지학회 논문집, 23(4), pp.21~27 (2003), 한국태양에너지학회
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- 島田健司, "複雜地形下での風力發電量予測におよぼす風況予測モデルの影響", 第25回記念風力エネルギ一利用シンポジウム, pp.149~152 (2003), 日本風力エネルギ一協會
- EMD International A, "S", WindPRO 2.5 User Guide, 1st Edition, 2006
- EMD International A, "S", WindPRO Module Description, 2006, pp.19~26
- 김현구, "제주도 풍력자원 데이터베이스 구축을 위한 기상통계분석", 한국환경과학회지, 17(6), pp.591~599 (2008), 한국환경과학회
