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인위적인 수요창출 하에서 서비스부품의 수요예측의 정확도

A Study of Measuring Forecasting Accuracy Under Rromotion System

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키워드

주제분류산업공학

초록

Promotion system can be used as strategical management weapon to enhance the sales power. Planned order system has some similarities with promotion system to create purchasing power and to supply the service parts with low price on purpose. The only difference is whether it is prearranged event or not. The effectiveness of forecasting has increased with normal state of ordering process. However, the accuracy of forecasting has diminished with irregular state of ordering, such as demand occurrences by unexpected climate change or intended planned order by the company. A planned order system is examined through the process of computing the effectiveness on the basis of forecasting in this paper. And it is suggested that how to increase the accuracy of forecasting capability under the planned order system.

Abstract

Promotion system can be used as strategical management weapon to enhance the sales power. Planned order system has some similarities with promotion system to create purchasing power and to supply the service parts with low price on purpose. The only difference is whether it is prearranged event or not. The effectiveness of forecasting has increased with normal state of ordering process. However, the accuracy of forecasting has diminished with irregular state of ordering, such as demand occurrences by unexpected climate change or intended planned order by the company. A planned order system is examined through the process of computing the effectiveness on the basis of forecasting in this paper. And it is suggested that how to increase the accuracy of forecasting capability under the planned order system.

참고문헌 (10)

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  8. ETS를 이용한 시계열자료분석Ⅰ, "SAS", pp.2002, 박유성
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  10. 정동빈, "Minitab을 이용한 수요예측분석" (2007), 이레테크

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