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몬테카를로 DEA를 이용한 불확실성을 고려한 효율적 공급자 선정

Efficient Supplier Selection with Uncertainty Using Monte Carlo DEA

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초록

Selection of efficient supplier is a very important process as risk or uncertainty of a supply chain and its environment are increasing. Previous deterministic DEA and probabilistic DEAs are very limited to handle various types of risk and uncertainty. In this paper, I propose an improved probabilistic DEA which consists of two steps; Monte Carlo simulation and statistical decision making. The simulation results show that the proposed method is proper to distinguish supplier’s performance and provide statistical decision background.

Abstract

Selection of efficient supplier is a very important process as risk or uncertainty of a supply chain and its environment are increasing. Previous deterministic DEA and probabilistic DEAs are very limited to handle various types of risk and uncertainty. In this paper, I propose an improved probabilistic DEA which consists of two steps; Monte Carlo simulation and statistical decision making. The simulation results show that the proposed method is proper to distinguish supplier’s performance and provide statistical decision background.

참고문헌 (14)

  1. Bogetoft, P., "Benchmarking with DEA, SFA, and R, Vol. 157" (2010), Springer
  2. Braglia, M., "A quality assurance-oriented methodology for handling trade-offs in supplier selection", Int. J. Phys. Distrib. Logist. Manag, 30(2), pp.96~112 (2000)
  3. Carr, A.S., "Strategically managed buyer-supplier relationships and performance outcomes", J. Oper. Manag., 17(5), pp.497~519 (1999)
  4. Charnes, A., "Measuring the efficiency of decision making units", Eur. J. Oper. Res., 2(6), pp.429~444 (1978)
  5. Choi, T.Y., "An exploration of supplier selection practices across the supply chain", J. Oper. Manag., 14(4), pp.333~343 (1996)
  6. Cooper, W. W., "Satisficing DEA models under chance constraints", Ann. Oper. Res., 66(4), pp.279~295 (1996)
  7. Ho, W., "Multi-criteria decision making approaches for supplier evaluation and selection : A literature review", Eur. J. Oper. Res., 202(1), pp.16~24 (2010)
  8. Park, S. H., "Design of Experiments, Vol. 1" (2003), Minyoungsa
  9. Talluri, S., "Vendor evaluation with performance variability : a max-min approach", Eur. J. Oper. Res., 146(3), pp.543~552 (2003)
  10. Talluri, S., "Vendor performance with supply risk : A chance-constrained DEA approach", Int. J. Prod. Econ., 100(2), pp.212~222 (2006)
  11. Tang, C. S., "Perspectives in supply chain risk management", Int. J. Prod. Econ., 103(2), pp.451~488 (2006)
  12. Weber, C. A., "Vendor selection criteria and methods", Eur. J. Oper. Res., 50(1), pp.2~18 (1991)
  13. Wu, T., "Supplier evaluation and selection : an augmented DEA approach", Int. J. Prod. Res., 47(16), pp.4593~4608 (2009)
  14. Wu, D., "Supply chain risk, simulation, and vendor selection", Int. J. Prod. Econ., 114(2), pp.646~655 (2008)

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