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역직구 상품 추천 및 판매가 추정을 위한 머신러닝 모델

Machine Learning Model for Recommending Products and Estimating Sales Prices of Reverse Direct Purchase

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초록

With about 80% of the global economy expected to shift to the global market by 2030, exports of reverse direct purchase products, in which foreign consumers purchase products from online shopping malls in Korea, are growing 55% annually. As of 2021, sales of reverse direct purchases in South Korea increased 50.6% from the previous year, surpassing 40 million. In order for domestic SMEs(Small and medium sized enterprises) to enter overseas markets, it is important to come up with export strategies based on various market analysis information, but for domestic small and medium-sized sellers, entry barriers are high, such as lack of information on overseas markets and difficulty in selecting local preferred products and determining competitive sales prices. This study develops an AI-based product recommendation and sales price estimation model to collect and analyze global shopping malls and product trends to provide marketing information that presents promising and appropriate product sales prices to small and medium-sized sellers who have difficulty collecting global market information. The product recommendation model is based on the LTR (Learning To Rank) methodology. As a result of comparing performance with nDCG, the Pair-wise-based XGBoost-LambdaMART Model was measured to be excellent. The sales price estimation model uses a regression algorithm. According to the R-Squared value, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine performs best in this model.

Abstract

With about 80% of the global economy expected to shift to the global market by 2030, exports of reverse direct purchase products, in which foreign consumers purchase products from online shopping malls in Korea, are growing 55% annually. As of 2021, sales of reverse direct purchases in South Korea increased 50.6% from the previous year, surpassing 40 million. In order for domestic SMEs(Small and medium sized enterprises) to enter overseas markets, it is important to come up with export strategies based on various market analysis information, but for domestic small and medium-sized sellers, entry barriers are high, such as lack of information on overseas markets and difficulty in selecting local preferred products and determining competitive sales prices. This study develops an AI-based product recommendation and sales price estimation model to collect and analyze global shopping malls and product trends to provide marketing information that presents promising and appropriate product sales prices to small and medium-sized sellers who have difficulty collecting global market information. The product recommendation model is based on the LTR (Learning To Rank) methodology. As a result of comparing performance with nDCG, the Pair-wise-based XGBoost-LambdaMART Model was measured to be excellent. The sales price estimation model uses a regression algorithm. According to the R-Squared value, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine performs best in this model.

참고문헌 (10)

  1. Jung, J. W., "novel product recommendation system for global market", Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Big Data Applications and Services, pp.45~50 (2022)
  2. 정민지, "한류 및 한국 화장품의 제품이미지가 해외직접구매의도에 미치는 영향: 중국 소비자를 대상으로", 소비자학연구, 29(1), pp.55~82 (2018), 한국소비자학회[DOI]
  3. 김태환, "중국 B2C 역직구 수출기업들의 수출 중요요인과 수출성과 간의 실증 연구", 무역금융보험연구, 23(4), pp.59~76 (2022), 한국무역보험학회[DOI]
  4. 김영두, "한국 중소기업 수출 활성화를 위한 역직구 만족도 제고 방안", 무역연구, 17(2), pp.313~330 (2021), 한국무역연구원[DOI]
  5. Lee, Y. J., "Endemik Sidae Jungsogieop Onlain Suchulisyu Bunseok Mich Jeongchaekjeok Sisajeom", KIET Monthly Industrial Economics, 284, pp.28~37 (2022)
  6. Liu, T.Y., "Learning to rank for information retrieval", Foundations and Trends® in Information Retrieval, 3(3), pp.225~331 (2009)
  7. Shahbazi, Z., "Product recommendation based on content-based filtering using XGBoost classifier", International Journal of Advanced Science and Tech-nology, 29, pp.6979~6988 (2020)
  8. Wang, Y., "A Theoretical Analysis of NDCG Type Ranking Measures", Conference on Learning Theory, pp.25~54 (2013), PMLR
  9. Xie, B., "Hybrid Re-commendation Base on Learning to Rank", 2015 9th International Conference on Innovative Mobile and Internet Services in Ubiquitous Computing, pp.53~57 (2015), IEEE
  10. Yu, K. J., "Construction of Emotional Dictionaries for Product Preference Analysis using Overseas Shopping Mall Reviews", Autumn Annual Conference of IEIE, pp.755~756 (2022)

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