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혼합물 실험계획법을 활용한 앙상블 예측 모델

Ensemble Prediction Model Using Mixture Design of Experiments

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초록

This study proposes a weight optimization technique based on Mixture Design of Experiments (MD) to overcome the limitations of traditional ensemble learning and achieve optimal predictive performance with minimal experimentation. Traditional ensemble learning combines the predictions of multiple base models through a meta-model to generate a final prediction but has limitations in systematically optimizing the combination of base model performances. In this research, MD is applied to efficiently adjust the weights of each base model, constructing an optimized ensemble model tailored to the characteristics of the data. An evaluation of this technique across various industrial datasets confirms that the optimized ensemble model proposed in this study achieves higher predictive performance than traditional models in terms of F1-Score and accuracy. This method provides a foundation for enhancing real-time analysis and prediction reliability in data-driven decision-making systems across diverse fields such as manufacturing, fraud detection, and medical diagnostics.

Abstract

This study proposes a weight optimization technique based on Mixture Design of Experiments (MD) to overcome the limitations of traditional ensemble learning and achieve optimal predictive performance with minimal experimentation. Traditional ensemble learning combines the predictions of multiple base models through a meta-model to generate a final prediction but has limitations in systematically optimizing the combination of base model performances. In this research, MD is applied to efficiently adjust the weights of each base model, constructing an optimized ensemble model tailored to the characteristics of the data. An evaluation of this technique across various industrial datasets confirms that the optimized ensemble model proposed in this study achieves higher predictive performance than traditional models in terms of F1-Score and accuracy. This method provides a foundation for enhancing real-time analysis and prediction reliability in data-driven decision-making systems across diverse fields such as manufacturing, fraud detection, and medical diagnostics.

참고문헌 (19)

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  4. Dogan, A., "A Weighted Majority Voting Ensemble Approach for Classification", Journal of Computer Engineering, 28(4), pp.123~135 (2024)
  5. Filias, F., "Ensemble Learning for Prediction of Toxicity in Prostate Cancer Radiotherapy:Comparison Between Stacking and Genetic Algorithm Weighted Voting", IEEE 20th International Conference on BioInformatics and BioEngineering (BIBE), pp.884~890 (2020)
  6. Huang, S., "Applications of support vector machine (SVM) learni.ng in cancer genomics", Cancer Genomics & Proteomics, 14(5), pp.305~318 (2017)
  7. Jeong U. S., "A Study on Intelligent(AI)Detection Models for Anomaly Signs in Telecommunication Financial Fraud Incidents", Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security and Cryptology, 29(1), pp.149~164 (2019)
  8. Kwak, Y. J., "Development of a High-performance Concrete Compressive Strength Prediction Model Using Bagging and Stacking-based Ensemble Machine Learning Methods", Journal of the Korea Computer Structural Engineering Society, 36(1), pp.9~18 (2023)
  9. Kim, D.Y., "Prediction of Bestseller Overseas Sales of Domestic Books and Analysis of Bestseller Review Keywords Based on Ensemble Learning", Journal of the Korean Society for Information Processing, 12(4), pp.173~178 (2023)
  10. Kim, G. W., "Multi-layer Stacking Ensemble-based Clinical Severity Prediction Model for Early Triage of COVID-19 Patients", Journal of Korea Institute of Information Technology, 20(12), pp.37~47 (2022)
  11. Lee, B. R., "A Study on Real-time Monitoring of Cutting Quality Using Machine Learning Algorithms", Master, pp.2020
  12. Lee, S. E., "A New Ensemble Machine learning curve Technique with Multiple Stacking", The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies, 25(3), pp.1~13 (2020)
  13. Lee, S.H., "Machine Learning for Detecting Malicious Comments on YouTube: Focusing on the Application of Stacking Ensemble Model", Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society, 24(4), pp.1583~1598 (2022)
  14. Lundberg, S. M., "A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions", Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS), pp.4765~4774 (2017)
  15. Riberio, M. T., "Why Should I Trust You? Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier", Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, pp.1135~1144 (2016)
  16. Tan, J., "Applications of machine learning in manufacturing : A review", Journal of Manufacturing Processes, 56, pp.526~542 (2020)
  17. Wardoyo, R., "Weighted Majority Voting by Statistical Performance Analysis on Ensemble Multiclassifier", Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Information and Communication Technology for Intelligent Systems (ICTIS) (2020), IEEE
  18. Yun S. H., "Detection of Injection Molding Defects Using Stacking Ensemble Model", Proceedings of Korean Institute of Information Scientists and Engineers, pp.1483~1485 (2022)

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