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사과 품종별 재배면적 변동 요인 분석

Analysis of Factors Influencing Cultivation Area of Apple Cultivars

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초록

This study analyzed factors influencing cultivation area of two major apple cultivars, Fuji and Hongro, applying the panel SUR model to survey data from farms. Characteristics of farms, distribution factors, and weather factors were the independent variables of the model. The analysis indicated that characteristics of farms, distribution factors, and weather factors influence the cultivation area of Hongro and Fuji. The independent variables were also found to have different levels of influence on increase and decrease of the cultivated area. Helping predict changes in cultivation area of Hongro and Fuji, the research results can be used as primary data to support efforts to prevent price fluctuations due to changes in supply.

Abstract

This study analyzed factors influencing cultivation area of two major apple cultivars, Fuji and Hongro, applying the panel SUR model to survey data from farms. Characteristics of farms, distribution factors, and weather factors were the independent variables of the model. The analysis indicated that characteristics of farms, distribution factors, and weather factors influence the cultivation area of Hongro and Fuji. The independent variables were also found to have different levels of influence on increase and decrease of the cultivated area. Helping predict changes in cultivation area of Hongro and Fuji, the research results can be used as primary data to support efforts to prevent price fluctuations due to changes in supply.

참고문헌 (7)

  1. Biorn, E., "Regression system for unbalanced panel data: a stepwise maximum likelihood procedure", Journal of Econometrics, 122, pp.281~291 (2004)[DOI]
  2. 최동근, "‘홍로’", M.9 사과나무의 세장방추형에서 수고가 투광율, 투약율, 수체 생육 및 과실품질에 미치는 영향, 2014, pp.32(4), 454~462[DOI]
  3. 김미리, "사과생산량에 영향을 미치는 기상요인 분석", 한국농림기상학회지, 16(4), pp.274~284 (2014), 한국농림기상학회[DOI]
  4. 김선영, "한국에서 기온상승이 사과 재배지역의 변화에 미치는 영향", 한국지역지리학회지, 16(3), pp.201~215 (2010), 한국지역지리학회
  5. 권현진, "패널 연립방정식 모형에 의한 수도권 토지가격과 주택가격 간 영향 분석", 부동산연구, 23(3), pp.207~233 (2013), 한국부동산연구원
  6. 신관호, "무역 및 금융연계성이 경기변동 동조성에 미치는 영향 : 패널 연립방정식 접근", 금융연구, 26(3), pp.155~190 (2012), 한국금융학회
  7. 유현선, "패널 연립방정식 모형을 이용한 호텔 객실의 단기 수요 및 가격 결정요인 분석", 부동산연구, 27(2), pp.95~109 (2017), 한국부동산연구원

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