An Empirical Identification of Key Sectors Using Regional Input-Output Model in Korea: Non-survey Techniques
0
조회
0
다운로드
1
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
Since key sectors have high backward and forward linkages with the rest of the economy, investment in these sectors is expected to maximize economic growth, which is extensively meaningful in underdeveloped or developing countries with limited resources. Besides, identifying key sectors is considerably necessary and helpful for analyzing the long-term structural change and making the strategic policy of economic development, both at the national and regional level. However, the identification of the key sectors is somehow difficult to operate in practice at the regional level due to the absence of regional data at hand. In this study, the traditional backward and forward linkages are employed as indicators to identify the key sectors for sub-national regions where the input-output (IO) tables are unavailable. The regional IO tables are produced by adjusting national ones with several non-survey techniques. To capture the performance of non-survey techniques on recognizing key sectors, the estimated regional backward/forward linkages are computed and compared with the survey based benchmarks through the rank correlation coefficients. A large value of correlation coefficient indicates a high capability of the non-survey techniques on the identification of regional key sectors. At last, an empirical study is given with Korean 2005 national and regional IO tables.
Abstract
Since key sectors have high backward and forward linkages with the rest of the economy, investment in these sectors is expected to maximize economic growth, which is extensively meaningful in underdeveloped or developing countries with limited resources. Besides, identifying key sectors is considerably necessary and helpful for analyzing the long-term structural change and making the strategic policy of economic development, both at the national and regional level. However, the identification of the key sectors is somehow difficult to operate in practice at the regional level due to the absence of regional data at hand. In this study, the traditional backward and forward linkages are employed as indicators to identify the key sectors for sub-national regions where the input-output (IO) tables are unavailable. The regional IO tables are produced by adjusting national ones with several non-survey techniques. To capture the performance of non-survey techniques on recognizing key sectors, the estimated regional backward/forward linkages are computed and compared with the survey based benchmarks through the rank correlation coefficients. A large value of correlation coefficient indicates a high capability of the non-survey techniques on the identification of regional key sectors. At last, an empirical study is given with Korean 2005 national and regional IO tables.
참고문헌 (44)
- Agresti, A., "Analysis of ordinal categorical data" (2010), John Wiley & Sons
- Bonfiglio, A., "On the parameterization of techniques for representing regional economic structures", Economic System Research, 21, pp.115~127 (2009)
- Bonfiglio, A., "Assessing the behavior of non-survey methods for constructing the regional input-output tables through a Monte Carlo Simulation", Economic System Research, 20, pp.243~258 (2008)
- Cella, G., "The input-output measurement of interindustry linkages", Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 46, pp.73~83 (1984)
- Chenery, H., "International comparisons of the structure of production", Econometrica, 26, pp.487~525 (1958)
- 최성관, "지역투입산출모형의 작성방법 연구", 경제학연구, 58(2), pp.91~119 (2010), 한국경제학회
- Clements, B., "Interindustry linkages and economic development: the case of Brazil reconsidered", Developing Economies, 29, pp.166~187 (1991)
- Dietzenbacher, E., "The measurement of interindustry linkages: key sectors in the Netherlands", Economic Modelling, 9, pp.419~437 (1992)
- Dietzenbacher, E., "In vindication of the Ghosh model: a reinterpretations as a prize model", Journal of Regional Science, 37, pp.629~651 (1997)
- Dietzenbacher, E., "Input-Output Analysis: Frontiers and Extensions" (2001), Palgrave Publishers Ltd, Macmillan Press Ltd
- Dietzenbacher, E., "RAS-ing the transactions or the coefficients: It makes no difference", Journal of Regional Science, 49, pp.555~565 (2009)
- Flegg, A. T., "On the appropriate use of location quotients in generating regional input-output tables: Reply", Regional Studies, 31, pp.795~805 (1997)
- Flegg, A. T., "Regional size, regional specialization and the FLQ formula", Regional Studies, 34, pp.563~569 (2000)
- Flegg, A. T., "On the appropriate use of location quotients in generating regional input-output tables", Regional Studies, 29, pp.547~561 (1995)
- Flegg, A. T., "A comment on Tobias Kronenberg's ‘Construction of regional input-output tables using nonsurvey methods: the role of cross-hauling’", International Regional Science Review, 36, pp.235~257 (2013)
- Flegg, A. T., "Regional input-output tables and the FLQ formula: A case study of Finland", Regional Studies, 47, pp.703~721 (2013)
- Flegg, A. T., "Estimating regional input coefficients and multipliers: The use of the FLQ is not a gamble", Regional Studies (2014)
- Ghosh, A., "Input-Output approach in an allocation system", Economica, 25, pp.58~64 (1958)
- Hazari, B. R., "Empirical identification of key sectors in the Indian economy", Review of Economics and Statistics, 52, pp.301~305 (1970)
- Hewings, G. J. D., "The empirical identification of key sectors in an economy: a regional perspective", Developing Economies, 20, pp.173~195 (1982)
- Hirschman, A. O., "The Strategy of Economic Development" (1958), Yale University Press
- Jensen, R. C., "Some accounting procedures and their effects on input-output multipliers", The Annals of Regional Science, 12, pp.21~37 (1978)
- Jones, L. P., "The measurement of Hirschmanian Linkages", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 90, pp.323~333 (1976)
- Kowalewski, J., "Regionalization of national input–output tables: Empirical evidence on the use of the FLQ formula", Regional Studies, 49, pp.240~250 (2015)
- Lahr, M. L., "A review of the literature supporting the hybrid approach to constructing regional input-output models", Economic Systems Research, 5, pp.277~293 (1993)
- Laumas, P. S., "Key sector in some underdeveloped countries", Kiklos, 28, pp.62~79 (1975)
- Laumas, P. S., "Key sector in some underdeveloped countries: A reply", Kiklos, 29, pp.767~769 (1976)
- Leontief, W., "Quantitative input and output relations in the economic system of the United States", Review of Economic Statistics, 18, pp.105~125 (1936)
- McGilvray, J. W., "Structure, system and economic policy" (1977), Cambridge University Press
- Midmore, P., "Assessing industry linkages using regional input–output tables", Regional Studies, 40, pp.329~343 (2006)
- Miller, R. E., "Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions" (2009), Cambridge University Press
- Morrison, W. I., "Nonsurvey input-output techniques at the small area level: an evaluation", Journal of Regional Science, 14, pp.1~14 (1974)
- Myers J. L., "Research design and statistical analysis" (2003), Lawrence Erlbaum
- 박추환, "한국의 권역별 금융 역할 변화가 총요소생산성(TFP)에 미친 영향 - ‘5+2’ 경제권역을 중심으로 -", 한일경상논집, 60, pp.29~54 (2013), 한일경상학회
- Rasmussen, N. P., "Studies in intersectorial relations" (1956), North Holland Publishing Company
- Round, J. I., "An interregional input-output approach to the evaluation of nonsurvey methods", Journal of Regional Science, 18, pp.179~194 (1978)
- Schaffer W. A., "Nonsurvey techniques for constructing regional interindustry models", Paper for Regional Science Association, 23, pp.83~101 (1969)
- Sonis, M., "Coefficients Change in Input-Output Models: Theory and Applications", Economic Systems Research, 4, pp.143~157 (1992)
- Tzouvelekas, V. M., "Revealing a region's growth potential through the internal structure of the economy", International Advances in Economic Research, 1, pp.304~313 (1995)
- 조소운, "Non-survey Techniques for Constructing Regional Input-Output Tables", 경제연구, 30(4), pp.179~206 (2012), 한국경제통상학회
- Zhao, X., "A study on the regionalization of input-output tables with a modified location quotient", Proceedings, Korean Regional Science Association, 2013 (2013), Seoul National University
- Bank of Korea, "2005 national input-output tables", ~ (2008)
- Bank of Korea, "2005 regional input-output tables", ~ (2009)
- 2005 report on the census on basic characteristics of Establishments (whole country), "Statistics Korea", ~ (2006)
