Analyzing the Balancing Act: The Interplay between Analyst Coverage, Tone Management, and Stock Price Crash Risk
0
조회
0
다운로드
0
인용
0
참고문헌
키워드
초록
This study examines the relationship between analyst coverage, tone management, and stock price crash risk within the Chinese market. Our research builds upon the foundational understanding that increased scrutiny by analysts can encourage transparency and better corporate governance, thereby reducing the accumulation of undisclosed negative information which often leads to stock price crashes. Furthermore, we introduce the concept of tone management as a significant factor that could potentially counteract the benefits of analyst coverage. By strategically manipulating the tone of financial disclosures, companies might obscure true financial conditions, misleading investors and thus exacerbating the risk of stock price crashes. The study employs quantitative analyses to investigate these relationships, providing insights into the dual role of analyst coverage and the intricate effects of tone management on market stability.
Abstract
This study examines the relationship between analyst coverage, tone management, and stock price crash risk within the Chinese market. Our research builds upon the foundational understanding that increased scrutiny by analysts can encourage transparency and better corporate governance, thereby reducing the accumulation of undisclosed negative information which often leads to stock price crashes. Furthermore, we introduce the concept of tone management as a significant factor that could potentially counteract the benefits of analyst coverage. By strategically manipulating the tone of financial disclosures, companies might obscure true financial conditions, misleading investors and thus exacerbating the risk of stock price crashes. The study employs quantitative analyses to investigate these relationships, providing insights into the dual role of analyst coverage and the intricate effects of tone management on market stability.
참고문헌 (34)
- Botosan, C. A., "Motivations for a change in disclosure frequency and its consequences : An examination of voluntary quarterly segment disclosures", Journal of Accounting Research, 38(2), pp.329~353 (2000)
- Caserio, C., "Management discussion and analysis : a tone analysis on US financial listed companies", Management Decision, 58(3), pp.510~525 (2019)
- Cao, C., "Social trust and stock price crash risk : Evidence from China", International Review of Economics &Finance, 46, pp.148~165 (2016)
- Assignment of stock market coverage, "Chang, B.", National Bureau of Economic Research, ~ (2017)
- Chen, C., "Financial reporting quality, debt maturity, and the cost of debt : Evidence from China", Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 49(4), pp.236~253 (2013)
- Chen, C. J., "High-level politically connected firms, corruption, and analyst forecast accuracy around the world", Journal of International Business Studies, 41, pp.1505~1524 (2010)
- Chen, J., "Forecasting crashes : Trading volume, past returns, and conditional skewness in stock prices", Journal of Financial Economics, 61(3), pp.345~381 (2001)
- Choi Young Mok, "Business Strategy and Stock Price Crash Risk", 리스크 관리연구, 33(2), pp.37~69 (2022)
- Dang, N. H., "The relationship between accounting information in the financial statements and the stock returns of listed firms in Vietnam stock exchange", International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(10), pp.1~10 (2017)
- De Franco, G., "The informational role of bond analysts", Journal of Accounting Research, 47(5), pp.1201~1248 (2009)
- Du, C., "Bank accounting disclosure, information content in stock prices, and stock crash risk : Global evidence", Pacific Accounting Review, 28(3), pp.260~278 (2016)
- Elshandidy, T., "Determinants and impacts of risk disclosure quality : Evidence from China", Journal of Applied Accounting Research, 19(4), pp.518~536 (2018)
- Engelberg, J. E., "How are shorts informed? : Short sellers, news, and information processing", Journal of Financial Economics, 105(2), pp.260~278 (2012)
- Fang, X., "Financial statement comparability and debt contracting : Evidence from the syndicated loan market", Accounting Horizons, 30(2), pp.277~303 (2016)
- Feldman, R., "Management’s tone change, post earnings announcement drift and accruals", Review of Accounting Studies, 15, pp.915~953 (2010)
- Firth, M., "The client is king: Do mutual fund relationships bias analyst recommendations?", Journal of Accounting Research, 51(1), pp.165~200 (2013)
- García-Meca, E., "The explanatory factors of intellectual capital disclosure to financial analysts", European Accounting Review, 14(1), pp.63~94 (2005)
- Guillamon-Saorin, E., "Impression management and non‐GAAP disclosure in earnings announcements", Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 44(3-4), pp.448~479 (2017)
- Gu, Q., "Corporate Private Information and Credit Ratings : Evidence from Corporate Geographic Distance", Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 58(11), pp.3215~3232 (2022)
- Hairudin, A., "Cryptocurrencies : A survey on acceptance, governance and market dynamics", International Journal of Finance & Economics, 27(4), pp.4633~4659 (2022)
- Hao, D. Y., "Corporate social responsibility, internal controls, and stock price crash risk : The Chinese stock market", Sustainability, 10(5), pp.1675~ (2018)
- Hao, Y., "The impact of government intervention on corporate investment allocations and efficiency : evidence from China", Financial Management, 47(2), pp.383~419 (2018)
- Healy, P. M., "Stock performance and intermediation changes surrounding sustained increases in disclosure", Contemporary Accounting Research, 16(3), pp.485~520 (1999)
- He, J. J., "The dark side of analyst coverage : The case of innovation", Journal of Financial Economics, 109(3), pp.856~878 (2013)
- Huang, X., "Tone management", The Accounting Review, 89(3), pp.1083~1113 (2014)
- Hutton, A. P., "Opaque financial reports, R2, and crash risk", Journal of Financial Economics, 94(1), pp.67~86 (2009)
- Irani, A. J., "Regulation fair disclosure, analyst following, and analyst forecast dispersion", Accounting Horizons, 17(1), pp.15~29 (2003)
- Kim, C., "Readability of 10-K reports and stock price crash risk", Contemporary Accounting Research, 36(2), pp.1184~1216 (2019)
- Kim, J. B., "Financial reporting opacity and expected crash risk : Evidence from implied volatility smirks", Contemporary Accounting Research, 31(3), pp.851~875 (2014)
- Kim, J. B., "Financial statement comparability and expected crash risk", Journal of Accounting and Economics, 61(2-3), pp.294~312 (2016)
- Kim, J. B., "Corporate tax avoidance and stock price crash risk : Firm-level analysis", Journal of Financial Economics, 100(3), pp.639~662 (2011)
- Kim, J. B., "Analyst coverage and expected crash risk : Evidence from exogenous changes in analyst coverage", The Accounting Review, 94(4), pp.345~364 (2019)
- Kim, W. S., "Corporate social responsibility, ownership structure, and firm value : Evidence from Korea", Sustainability, 10(7), pp.2497~ (2018)
- Oh, Yunji, "Institutional Investors and Stock Price Crash Risk", 리스크 관리연구, 33(3), pp.67~124 (2022)
