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순간전압강하 보상을 위한 확률론적 위험도 분석 연구

Probabilistic Method of Risk Assessment in Voltage Sag Mitigation Studies

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Power quality mitigation devices play an important role in lots of industrial segments. Although there were many devices available in the market, the selection of an appropriate device specially for voltage sags and interruptions mitigation has been a challenge in the utility and customer for several years. It usually depends on technical and economic characteristics of the device. Nevertheless, most mitigation method is selected by rule of thumb or empirical method. In this paper, the life cycle cost analysis for the probabilistic risk assesment of voltage sag mitigation method is performed using either the deterministic or probabilistic approach. The difference between a deterministic and a probabilistic cost analysis approach is illustrated with five different case studies. This paper not only provides a comparison of life cycle costing of various devices but it also indirectly shows the possible savings due to the mitigation of voltage sags in the form of a project balance chart.

Abstract

Power quality mitigation devices play an important role in lots of industrial segments. Although there were many devices available in the market, the selection of an appropriate device specially for voltage sags and interruptions mitigation has been a challenge in the utility and customer for several years. It usually depends on technical and economic characteristics of the device. Nevertheless, most mitigation method is selected by rule of thumb or empirical method. In this paper, the life cycle cost analysis for the probabilistic risk assesment of voltage sag mitigation method is performed using either the deterministic or probabilistic approach. The difference between a deterministic and a probabilistic cost analysis approach is illustrated with five different case studies. This paper not only provides a comparison of life cycle costing of various devices but it also indirectly shows the possible savings due to the mitigation of voltage sags in the form of a project balance chart.

참고문헌 (16)

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  8. A.K.Goswami, "Assessment of Financial Losses due to Voltage Sags in an Indian Ditribution System", IEEE Conf.on Industrial and Information Systems (2008)
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  10. Jovica V.Milanovic, "Probabilistic Assessment of Financial Losses due to Interruptions and Voltage Sags-Part I:The Methodology", IEEE Trans.on Power Delivery, 21(2) (2006)
  11. Jovica V.Milanovic, "Probabilistic Assessment of Financial Losses due to Interruptions and Voltage Sags-Part II:Practical Implementation", IEEE Trans.on Power Delivery, 21(2) (2006)
  12. A. Maitra, "Probabilistic Model of Risk Assessment of Offering Premium Power Services", EPRI, ~ (2003)
  13. B. Vairamohan, "Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Power Quality Mitigation Devices", EPRI, ~ (2003)
  14. Jong-Hoon Han, "Probabilistic Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Custom Power Devices for Voltage Sags and Interruptions Mitigation", IEEE T&D Asia (2009)
  15. 한종훈, "전력품질 향상을 위한 확률론적 위험도 평가 방안", 대한전기학회 하계학술대회 (2009)
  16. 박대철, "확률과 통계" (2010), GS인터비전

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