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주택가격과 농지가격의 차별성 및 농지가격의 형성요인에 관한 연구

A Study on the Difference between Housing and Farmland Prices, and the Factors Affecting the Formation of Farmland Prices

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주제분류경제학

초록

This study is on the analysis of relationship between urban housing price and farmland price and of factors affecting formation of farmland price. For analytical data, housing and farmland prices (dry field and rice paddy prices), income of farming family, agricultural income and inflation rate were used. The analysis showed no relations between urban housing price and farmland price in most areas but correlation between upland and paddy field prices was very high. Though there was no cause and effect relationship between housing and farmland prices, paddy and upland fields showed causal relationship. According to the analysis on factors affecting farmland price, income of farming families had a relatively big impact, but no impact from agricultural income and inflation. The result of this study is as follows: First, though housing and farmland prices are disparate, it is identified that, as for types of farmland, upland and paddy field prices are quite homogeneous. Second, as analysis showed nonfarm income had a big impact on farmland price, it will be limited for farmers to expand the farmland scale with their income from agricultural management activities. As this study demonstrated the disparate aspect between housing and farmland prices, it seems that the difference in asset price formation in urban and farming areas will get intensified. It is also identified that it will be very limited for farmers to expand the scale of farmland only with their agricultural income. Therefore, efforts will be needed for balanced growth in urban and agricultural areas.

Abstract

This study is on the analysis of relationship between urban housing price and farmland price and of factors affecting formation of farmland price. For analytical data, housing and farmland prices (dry field and rice paddy prices), income of farming family, agricultural income and inflation rate were used. The analysis showed no relations between urban housing price and farmland price in most areas but correlation between upland and paddy field prices was very high. Though there was no cause and effect relationship between housing and farmland prices, paddy and upland fields showed causal relationship. According to the analysis on factors affecting farmland price, income of farming families had a relatively big impact, but no impact from agricultural income and inflation. The result of this study is as follows: First, though housing and farmland prices are disparate, it is identified that, as for types of farmland, upland and paddy field prices are quite homogeneous. Second, as analysis showed nonfarm income had a big impact on farmland price, it will be limited for farmers to expand the farmland scale with their income from agricultural management activities. As this study demonstrated the disparate aspect between housing and farmland prices, it seems that the difference in asset price formation in urban and farming areas will get intensified. It is also identified that it will be very limited for farmers to expand the scale of farmland only with their agricultural income. Therefore, efforts will be needed for balanced growth in urban and agricultural areas.

참고문헌 (12)

  1. 권오상, "농지가격의 지역별·농지유형별 변동형태 분석", 농업경제연구, 49(3), pp.53~76 (2008), 한국농업경제학회
  2. 이영수, "주택가격과 물가의 동학: 한국의 경험", 부동산학연구, 18(4), pp.55~72 (2012), 한국부동산분석학회
  3. 이정환, "농지가격의 결정요인과 요인별 영향력-현재가치이론 검정과 충격 반응분석", 농촌경제, 19(1), pp.1~15 (1996), 농촌 경제연구원
  4. 이준희, "자산가격 결정모형을 이용한 우리나라 주택가격 분석", 한국개발연구, 29(1), pp.113~136 (2007), 한국개발연구원
  5. 여창환, "농지연금제도 정립을 위한 농지가격 장기예측 방안 연구", 한국지역개발학회지, 22(3), pp.63~80 (2010), 한국지역개발학회
  6. 채광석, "지대별 농지가격에 영향을 미치는 요인들의 인과성 분석- 도시근교지역과 평야지역을 중심으로 -", 농업경제연구, 46(4), pp.47~66 (2005), 한국농업경제학회
  7. 양승룡, "미곡종합처리장(RPC) 경영 개선을 위한 구조조정 방향 : 목표계획법을 이용하여", 농업경제연구, 48(4), pp.91~112 (2007), 한국농업경제학회
  8. Barry Falk, "Formally Testing the Present Value Model of Farmland Prices", American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 73, pp.1~10 (1991)
  9. C. Granger, "Investigating causal relations by economic models and cross spectral methods", Econometrica, 37(3), pp.424~438 (1969)
  10. Dickey, D. A., "Distribution of the Estimation for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, pp.427~431 (1979)
  11. Fama E., "Asset Returns and Inflation", Journal of Financial Economics, 5, pp.115~146 (1977)
  12. Julian M. Alston, "An Analysis of Growth of U.S. Farmland Prices", American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 68, pp.1~9 (1963)

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