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기계 학습을 이용한 공동주택 가격 추정: 서울 강남구를 사례로

Estimation of the Apartment Housing Price Using the Machine Learning Methods: The Case of Gangnam-gu, Seoul

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주제분류경제학

초록

This study examines the applicability of the machine learning methods to the real estatevaluation. Gangnam-gu, Seoul is chosen as the study area, and the housing prices are estimatedusing the sales cases collected in 2016. The predictive power of the machine learning methods suchas SVM (support vector machine), Ensemble Model and DNN (Deep Neural Networks) is superior tothat of the multiple regression analysis (MRA) methods. Among the machine learning methods, thepredictability of the GBRT (Gradient Boosting Regression Tree) model is slightly superior to that ofthe others. In addition, we estimate the assessment prices by applying an assessment ratio toestimated housing prices. The assessment values estimated by the machine learning methodsreflect the actual transaction prices better than the actual assessment values do, and satisfy thetaxation equity requirements. Drawing on the machine learning methods, this study is expected tohelp improve the efficiency of mass appraisal such as the housing assessment.

Abstract

This study examines the applicability of the machine learning methods to the real estatevaluation. Gangnam-gu, Seoul is chosen as the study area, and the housing prices are estimatedusing the sales cases collected in 2016. The predictive power of the machine learning methods suchas SVM (support vector machine), Ensemble Model and DNN (Deep Neural Networks) is superior tothat of the multiple regression analysis (MRA) methods. Among the machine learning methods, thepredictability of the GBRT (Gradient Boosting Regression Tree) model is slightly superior to that ofthe others. In addition, we estimate the assessment prices by applying an assessment ratio toestimated housing prices. The assessment values estimated by the machine learning methodsreflect the actual transaction prices better than the actual assessment values do, and satisfy thetaxation equity requirements. Drawing on the machine learning methods, this study is expected tohelp improve the efficiency of mass appraisal such as the housing assessment.

참고문헌 (40)

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