본문 바로가기
KERD
논문KCI 등재

How Credit Default Swaps Affect Risk-Shifting

2

조회

0

다운로드

0

인용

0

참고문헌

키워드

주제분류경제학

초록

We study the effects of credit default swaps (CDSs) on a firm’s risk-shifting behavior. Because CDSs provide debtholders (or banks) with protection against credit events, CDS-protected debtholders may not be as vigilant in monitoring borrowers once their credit risks are hedged. In addition, CDSs strengthen debtholders’ negotiating power and potentially increase default rates, which strengthens borrowers’ incentives for risk-shifting. Therefore, managers of CDS-referenced firms are encouraged to expropriate debtholder wealth by shifting to riskier investments. We find significant empirical evidence that the initiation of CDS trading increases risk-shifting behavior. Moreover, the effects of CDSs on risk-shifting are more pronounced for financially distressed firms. Our results are robust to a falsification test, a reverse causality test, and a test of selection bias.

Abstract

We study the effects of credit default swaps (CDSs) on a firm’s risk-shifting behavior. Because CDSs provide debtholders (or banks) with protection against credit events, CDS-protected debtholders may not be as vigilant in monitoring borrowers once their credit risks are hedged. In addition, CDSs strengthen debtholders’ negotiating power and potentially increase default rates, which strengthens borrowers’ incentives for risk-shifting. Therefore, managers of CDS-referenced firms are encouraged to expropriate debtholder wealth by shifting to riskier investments. We find significant empirical evidence that the initiation of CDS trading increases risk-shifting behavior. Moreover, the effects of CDSs on risk-shifting are more pronounced for financially distressed firms. Our results are robust to a falsification test, a reverse causality test, and a test of selection bias.

참고문헌 (37)

  1. Almeida, H., "Financial Constraints, Asset Tangibility, and Corporate Investment", Review of Financial Studies, 20(5), pp.1429~1460 (2007)
  2. Altman, E. I., "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy", Journal of Finance, 23(4), pp.589~609 (1968)
  3. Ashcraft, A.B., "Has the CDS Market Lowered the Cost of Corporate Debt?", Journal of Monetary Economics, 56(4), pp.514~523 (2009)
  4. Barclay, M.J., "The Maturity Structure of Corporate Debt", Journal of Finance, 50(2), pp.609~631 (1995)
  5. Barnea, A., "A Rationale for Debt Maturity Structure and Call Provisions in the Agency Theoretic Framework", Journal of Finance, 35(5), pp.1223~1234 (1980)
  6. Batta, G. E., "Credit Derivatives and Analyst Behavior", Accounting Review, 91(5), pp.1315~1343 (2016)
  7. Bollerslev, T., "Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity", Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), pp.307~327 (1986)
  8. Bollerslev, T., "ARCH Modeling in Finance: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence", Journal of Econometrics, 52(1-2), pp.5~59 (1992)
  9. Bolton, P., "Credit Default Swaps and the Empty Creditor Problem", Review of Financial Studies, 24(8), pp.2617~2655 (2011)
  10. Brander, J.A., "Managerial Compensation and the Agency Costs of Debt Finance", Managerial and Decision Economics, 13(1), pp.55~64 (1992)
  11. Campello, M., "Credit Default Swaps and Risk-Shifting", Economics Letters, 117(3), pp.639~641 (2012)
  12. Chang, X., "Credit Default Swaps and Corporate Innovation", Journal of Financial Economics, 134(2), pp.474~500 (2019)
  13. Chen, J., "Does CDS Trading Affect Risk-Taking Incentives in Managerial Compensation?", Journal of Banking and Finance, pp.105485~ (2019)
  14. Colonnello, S., "Shareholder Bargaining Power and the Emergence of Empty Creditors", Journal of Financial Economics, 134(2), pp.297~317 (2019)
  15. Danis, A., "Do Empty Creditors Matter? Evidence from Distressed Exchange Offers", Management Science, 63(5), pp.1285~1301 (2017)
  16. Eisdorfer, A, "Empirical Evidence of Risk-Shifting in Financially Distressed Firms", Journal of Finance, 63(2), pp.609~637 (2008)
  17. Episcopos, A., "Evidence on the Relationship between Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment", Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 35(1), pp.41~52 (1995)
  18. Fazzari, S. M., "Finance Constraints and Corporate Investment", Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, pp.141~195 (1988)
  19. Galai, D., "The Option Pricing Model and the Risk Factor of Stock", Journal of Financial Economics, 3(1-2), pp.53~81 (1976)
  20. Green, R. C., "Investment Incentives, Debt, and Warrants", Journal of Financial Economics, 13(1), pp.115~136 (1984)
  21. Hansen, P., "A Forecast Comparison of Volatility Models: Does Anything Beat a GARCH(1,1)?", Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20, pp.873~889 (2005)
  22. Hong, J., "The Effects of Credit Default Swaps on Corporate Investment", European Journal of Finance, 27(3), pp.260~277 (2021)
  23. Hu, H., "Debt, Equity, and Hybrid Decoupling : Governance and Systemic Risk Implications", European Financial Management, 14, pp.663~709 (2008)
  24. Jensen, M.C., "Theory of the Firm : Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs and Ownership Structure", Journal of Financial Economics, 3, pp.305~360 (1976)
  25. Kim, G. H., "Credit Derivatives as a Commitment Device : Evidence from the Cost of Corporate Debt", Journal of Banking and Finance, 73, pp.67~83 (2016)
  26. McDonald, R., "The Value of Waiting to Invest", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 101(4), pp.707~727 (1986)
  27. Merton, R. C., "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt : The Risk Structure of Interest Rates", Journal of Finance, 29(2), pp.449~470 (1974)
  28. Morrison, A. D., "Credit Derivatives, Disintermediation, and Investment Decisions", Journal of Business, 78(2), pp.621~648 (2005)
  29. Narayanan, R., "Credit Default Swaps and Firm Value", Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 53(3), pp.1227~1259 (2018)
  30. Parlour, C. A., "Laying Off Credit Risk : Loan Sales Versus Credit Default Swaps", Journal of Financial Economics, 107(1), pp.25~45 (2013)
  31. Pindyck, R. S., "Irreversible Investment, Capacity Choice, and the Value of the Firm", American Economic Review, 78, pp.969~985 (1988)
  32. Pindyck, R S., "Economic Instability and Aggregate Investment", NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 8, pp.259~303 (1993)
  33. Roberts, M.R., "Endogeneity in Empirical Corporate Finance 1", Handbook of the Economics of Finance, 2, pp.493~572 (2013)
  34. Saretto, A., "Corporate Leverage, Debt Maturity, and Credit Supply : The Role of Credit Default Swaps", Review of Financial Studies, 26(5), pp.1190~1247 (2013)
  35. Smith Jr, C.W., "On Financial Contracting : An Analysis of Bond Covenants", Journal of Financial Economics, 7(2), pp.117~161 (1979)
  36. Subrahmanyam, M. G., "Does the Tail Wag the Dog? : The Effect of Credit Default Swaps on Credit Risk", Review of Financial Studies, 27(10), pp.2927~2960 (2014)
  37. Subrahmanyam, M. G., "Credit Default Swaps, Exacting Creditors and Corporate Liquidity Management", Journal of Financial Economics, 124(2), pp.395~414 (2017)

관련 논문AI추천

이 간행물의 다른 논문 (6건)